KeyVex › 2026 Midterms › North Carolina

Follow the money into the midterms

26days to Election DayTuesday, Nov 3
Updated Oct 8, 10:20 PM ET
Data as of

Every federal race on the ballot, the money behind it, and what the incumbents do with their own money: campaign cash, outside spending, stock trades, estimated net worth and the federal dollars flowing into each state. Public records, refreshed twice a day.

  • Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026
  • Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026
  • Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026
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Who holds the seats up in 2026

View as table
Senate raceSpecial election

Who holds the seat today. Not a forecast.

Source: Senate and House rosters, as of Sep 27, 2026

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

State report

North Carolina

On the ballot Nov 3U.S. SenateU.S. House (14 seats)
  • New district lines for 2026
Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026, each campaign through its latest report; outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

At a glance

Outside money
$94.0M$18.1M for, $75.8M against, including $25K from filers not namedincludes $69.2M from 24/48-hour notices
#5 of 51Median state $13.1M
Campaign money (leading campaigns)
$80.4M2025-26 receipts of the leading campaigns in this state's 2026 racesAll filers: $94.3M
#7 of 51Median state $26.5M
Delegation trading (12 mo)
$3.1M est.77 trades by this state's members in the last 12 monthsOne member accounts for 93% of this
#19 of 51Median state $1.5M est.
Federal awards
$54.54BFY2025 contracts, grants and other assistance; per resident n/a (no population figure). Direct payments are shown apart, below

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

FEMA major disasters since 2021: 5Unemployment 3.5% (Aug 2026); US 4.1% (Aug 2026)

Source: FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026 and FEC campaign reports (2025-26 receipts), mostly through Jun 30, 2026; Senate and House periodic transaction reports disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; USAspending.gov (FY2025) and Census Bureau population estimates (Vintage 2025), as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Senate (Class II)

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source (CSV))
Thom Tillis
Not on the November ballot source (CSV)
No trades in the last 12 months.
Net worth $6.7M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Financial Institutions and Consumer Protection · Chairman, Intellectual Property

On the November ballot

Roy Cooper D Nominee source (CSV)
Raised $35.0MSpent $14.3MCash $20.7Mthrough Jun 30, 2026
includes $19.8M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 2%
Against $40.9MOutside moneyFor $2.0M
includes $40.2M from 24/48-hour notices
Top spenders

For

  1. Planned Parenthood Votes North CarolinaSuper PAC · 3 purchases · latest Oct 5, 2026$855K filing
  2. Workers VoteSuper PAC · 10 purchases · latest Oct 5, 2026$421K filing
  3. United Futures PACSuper PAC · 5 purchases · latest Oct 5, 2026$169K filing
  4. Progressive Turnout ProjectHybrid PAC · 6 purchases · latest Sep 27, 2026$157K filing
  5. Cffe PACHybrid PAC · 5 purchases · latest Sep 1, 2026$106K filing
For: 1 filer not named: <$1K

Against

  1. SLF PACSuper PAC · 51 purchases · latest Sep 28, 2026$30.2M filing
  2. No Going Back PAC Inc.Super PAC · 15 purchases · latest Oct 6, 2026$8.8M filing
  3. Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action)Hybrid PAC · 20 purchases · latest Aug 19, 2026$1.8M filing
  4. The Conservative CaucusOrganization (not a registered committee) · 14 purchases · latest Sep 4, 2026$44K filing
  5. Catholicvote.orgOrganization (not a registered committee) · 1 purchase · latest May 18, 2026$18K filing
Michael Whatley R Nominee source (CSV)
Raised $11.3MSpent $7.8MCash $3.5Mthrough Jun 30, 2026
includes $4.6M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 8% · debts $47K
Against $23.3MOutside moneyFor $6.5M
includes $15.6M from 24/48-hour notices
Top spenders

For

  1. Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action)Hybrid PAC · 43 purchases · latest Sep 1, 2026$4.7M filing
  2. No Going Back PAC Inc.Super PAC · 7 purchases · latest Oct 1, 2026$1.1M filing
  3. SLF PACSuper PAC · 9 purchases · latest Jun 4, 2026$658K filing
  4. Associated Builders and Contractors, Inc. Political Action Committee (Abc PAC)Trade association PAC · 1 purchase · latest Sep 18, 2026$46K filing
  5. Red SenateSuper PAC · 64 purchases · latest Jun 30, 2026$2K filing

Against

  1. WinsenateSuper PAC · 32 purchases · latest Sep 29, 2026$21.6M filing
  2. Edf Action VotesSuper PAC · 1 purchase · latest Sep 17, 2026$500K filing
  3. LCV Victory FundSuper PAC · 2 purchases · latest Sep 16, 2026$500K filing
  4. NRDC Action VotesSuper PAC · 1 purchase · latest Sep 18, 2026$500K filing
  5. Progress North Carolina ActionOrganization (not a registered committee) · 3 purchases · latest Oct 7, 2026$215K filing
Michael Dublin Green Nominee source (CSV)
Raised $25KSpent $17KCash $10Kthrough Jun 30, 2026
self-funded 79% · debts $20K
Shannon W. Bray Libertarian Nominee source (CSV)
Registered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (24), $5.6M raised; $14K in outside money for or against them

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (through Jun 30, 2026); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; Senate disclosures for the incumbent's trades and net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

House races

14 races, 1 open. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.

Each race shows the candidates on its official November list. Open a row for its campaigns: raised spent cash on hand, on one scale per race, through Jun 30, 2026 unless another date is shown.

Districts: outside moneyNew lines
None reportedUnder $250K$250K to $1M$1M to $5M$5M to $15M$15M or moreBorder: incumbent's party; dashed: openIncumbent traded (12 mo)
District 1Donald G. DavisDonald G. Davis DNomineeDonald G. Davis D $4.3M / $3.6MLaurie Buckhout R $3.8M / $1.8MTom Bailey Libertarian n/a / n/a$6.9M00

Donald G. Davis: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Donald G. Davis D Incumbent$4.3M raised · $988K spent · $3.6M cashincludes $537K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 36%
    Outside money: against $312K, for $2.7M, includes $2.8M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: With Honor Fund III, Inc. $1.7M, Rolling Sea Action Fund $480K. Top against: No Going Back PAC Inc. $215K, Restoration of America PAC $90K.
  • Laurie Buckhout R$3.8M raised · $2.0M spent · $1.8M cashincludes $481K transferred from the candidate's other committees · self-funded 63% · from PACs 9% · debts $3.5M
    Outside money: against $2.8M, for $1.2M, includes $3.1M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: American Mission $509K, No Going Back PAC Inc. $202K. Top against: HMP $2.8M, 1st Conservative Fund NC $42K.
  • Tom Bailey LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (5), $4.5M raised; $19K in outside money for or against them
District 2Deborah K. RossDeborah K. Ross DNomineeDeborah K. Ross D $1.7M / $1.3MEugene Farley Douglass R n/a / n/aMatthew Laszacs Libertarian n/a / n/a<$1K00

Deborah K. Ross: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Deborah K. Ross D Incumbent$1.7M raised · $1.1M spent · $1.3M cashfrom PACs 41% · debts $10K
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Eugene Farley Douglass RRegistered; no financial report on file yet
  • Matthew Laszacs LibertarianNo FEC filing on file
Also filed with the FEC (2), <$1K raised
District 3Gregory F. MurphyGregory F. Murphy RNomineeGregory F. Murphy R $2.4M / $2.7MRaymond Edward Smith Jr. D $223K / $74KDaniel Cavender Libertarian n/a / n/a$464K00

Gregory F. Murphy: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Gregory F. Murphy R Incumbent$2.4M raised · $1.2M spent · $2.7M cashincludes $248K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 44%
    Outside money: against $327K, for $131K, includes $131K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Center Forward Initiative Inc (Cfi) $131K. Top against: Ab PAC $327K.
  • Raymond Edward Smith Jr. D$223K raised · $137K spent · $74K cashfrom PACs 12%
    Outside money: against $0, for $7K. For: 2 filers not named: $7K.
  • Daniel Cavender LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (4), $328K raised
District 4Valerie P. FousheeValerie P. Foushee DNomineeValerie P. Foushee D $912K / $48KMahesh Ganorkar R $12K / $17KGuy Meilleur Libertarian n/a / n/a$2.6M00

Valerie P. Foushee: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Valerie P. Foushee D Incumbent$912K raised · $950K spent · $48K cashfrom PACs 54% · debts $4K
    Outside money: against $242K, for $2.4M. Top for: Jobs and Democracy PAC $1.6M, Article One PAC $600K. Top against: Justice Democrats PAC $218K, Citizens Against AIPAC Corruption $24K. For: 1 filer not named: $11K.
  • Mahesh Ganorkar R$12K raised · $10K spent · $17K cashself-funded 38% · from PACs 8%
  • Guy Meilleur LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (2), $1.1M raised; $2.0M in outside money for or against them
District 5Virginia FoxxVirginia Foxx RNomineeVirginia Foxx R $1.7M / $3.4MChuck Hubbard D $395K / $100KRobert B. Luffman Libertarian n/a / n/a$340K11$204K est.0

Virginia Foxx: Nominee source (CSV). 11 trades in the last 12 months, $204K est. Trades and net worth

  • Virginia Foxx R Incumbent$1.7M raised · $1.2M spent · $3.4M cashfrom PACs 25%
    Outside money: against $340K, for $0. Top against: Ab PAC $340K.
  • Chuck Hubbard D$395K raised · $302K spent · $100K cashdebts $20K
  • Robert B. Luffman LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (5), $78K raised
District 6Addison P. McDowellAddison P. McDowell RNomineeAddison P. McDowell R $1.2M / $382KCyril Jefferson D $200K / $14KNone00

Addison P. McDowell: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Addison P. McDowell R Incumbent$1.2M raised · $852K spent · $382K cashfrom PACs 42% · debts $29K
  • Cyril Jefferson D$200K raised · $186K spent · $14K cashfrom PACs 3%
Also filed with the FEC (5), $79K raised
District 7David RouzerDavid Rouzer RNomineeDavid Rouzer R $2.0M / $2.3MKimberly Hardy D $294K / $65KMaad Abu-Ghazalah Libertarian $8K / <$1K<$1K2$16K est.0

David Rouzer: Nominee source (CSV). 2 trades in the last 12 months, $16K est. Trades and net worth

  • David Rouzer R Incumbent$2.0M raised · $1.1M spent · $2.3M cashfrom PACs 61%
    Outside money: against <$1K, for $0. Top against: Rural Freedom Network <$1K.
  • Kimberly Hardy D$294K raised · $229K spent · $65K cash
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Rural Freedom Network <$1K.
  • Maad Abu-Ghazalah Libertarian$8K raised · $8K spent · <$1K cashthrough Sep 30, 2026 · self-funded 36% · debts $2K
Also filed with the FEC (2), $0 raised
District 8Mark HarrisMark Harris RNomineeMark Harris R $1.0M / $518KColby Watson D $40K / $2KBo Whitehead Green n/a / n/a$14K00

Mark Harris: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Mark Harris R Incumbent$1.0M raised · $609K spent · $518K cashfrom PACs 20%
    Outside money: against $0, for $14K. Top for: Freedom Caucus Fund $14K.
  • Colby Watson D$40K raised · $37K spent · $2K cashself-funded 64% · from PACs 2%
  • Bo Whitehead GreenNo FEC filing on file
Also filed with the FEC (4), $314K raised
District 9Richard HudsonRichard Hudson RNomineeRichard Hudson R $3.2M / $1.3MRichard N. Ojeda D $2.2M / $164K$372K00

Richard Hudson: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Richard Hudson R Incumbent$3.2M raised · $2.5M spent · $1.3M cashincludes $677K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 50%
    Outside money: against $366K, for $0. Top against: Ab PAC $366K.
  • Richard N. Ojeda D$2.2M raised · $2.1M spent · $164K cash
    Outside money: against $0, for $6K. Top for: Rebellion PAC $5K, Turn Left PAC $1K.
Also filed with the FEC (4), $6K raised
District 10Pat HarriganPat Harrigan RNomineePat Harrigan R $1.1M / $451KAshley Bell D $84K / $26KSteven Feldman Libertarian $37K / $1K$17K00

Pat Harrigan: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Pat Harrigan R Incumbent$1.1M raised · $683K spent · $451K cashfrom PACs 33%
    Outside money: against $8K, for $0, includes $8K from 24/48-hour notices. Top against: We the People...Can't Even $8K.
  • Ashley Bell D$84K raised · $58K spent · $26K cashfrom PACs 1% · debts $8K
    Outside money: against <$1K, for $9K, includes $9K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: We the People...Can't Even $9K. Top against: The Conservative Caucus <$1K. For: 1 filer not named: <$1K.
  • Steven Feldman Libertarian$37K raised · $53K spent · $1K cashself-funded 99%
Also filed with the FEC (6), $87K raised
District 11Open seat outgoing:Chuck EdwardsChuck Edwards RNot on the November ballotJamie Ager D $3.1M / $2.2MJennifer Balkcom R n/a / n/aTravis Groo Libertarian n/a / n/a$7.7M00

Chuck Edwards: Not on the November ballot source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source (CSV))
  • Jamie Ager D$3.1M raised · $868K spent · $2.2M cashfrom PACs 7%
    Outside money: against $2.9M, for $803K, includes $3.4M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Welcomepac $319K, Fight for Working People $220K. Top against: No Going Back PAC Inc. $2.8M, Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) $63K. For: 2 filers not named: $7K.
  • Jennifer Balkcom RRegistered; no financial report on file yet
    Outside money: against $3.6M, for $364K, includes $4.0M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) $248K, No Going Back PAC Inc. $85K. Top against: HMP $1.5M, Your Community PAC $1.3M.
  • Travis Groo LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (11), $1.5M raised; $700K in outside money for or against them
District 12Alma S. AdamsAlma S. Adams DNomineeAlma S. Adams D $371K / $457KJohn Jack Codiga R $29K / <$1K<$1K00

Alma S. Adams: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Alma S. Adams D Incumbent$371K raised · $487K spent · $457K cashfrom PACs 73%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • John Jack Codiga R$29K raised · $29K spent · <$1K cashdebts $3K
Also filed with the FEC (5), $89K raised
District 13Brad KnottBrad Knott RNomineeBrad Knott R $1.3M / $708KPaul Barringer D $1.0M / $515KSteven Swinton Libertarian n/a / n/aNone00

Brad Knott: Nominee source (CSV). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Brad Knott R Incumbent$1.3M raised · $649K spent · $708K cashincludes $191K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 49% · debts $760K
  • Paul Barringer D$1.0M raised · $508K spent · $515K cashself-funded 45% · debts $320K
  • Steven Swinton LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (5), $59K raised
District 14Tim MooreTim Moore RNomineeTim Moore R $1.5M / $1.6MLakesha Womack D $25K / -$376$81K64$2.9M est.0

Tim Moore: Nominee source (CSV). 64 trades in the last 12 months, $2.9M est. Trades and net worth

  • Tim Moore R Incumbent$1.5M raised · $881K spent · $1.6M cashfrom PACs 28%
    Outside money: against $0, for $81K. Top for: Defend American Jobs $81K.
  • Lakesha Womack D$25K raised · $26K spent · -$376 cashfrom PACs 4%
Also filed with the FEC (3), $155K raised; <$1K in outside money for or against them

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (mostly through Jun 30, 2026, each campaign through its latest report); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; House disclosures for incumbents' trades, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

The delegation's own money

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every current member from North Carolina, including senators not up this year. Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate from the ranges filed.

Estimated volume by member (12 mo)

Tim Moore R$2.9M est.Virginia Foxx R$204K est.David Rouzer R$16K est.

No trades in the last 12 months: Addison P. McDowell, Alma S. Adams, Brad Knott, Chuck Edwards, Deborah K. Ross, Donald G. Davis, Gregory F. Murphy, Mark Harris, Pat Harrigan, Richard Hudson, Ted Budd, Thom Tillis, Valerie P. Foushee

Purchases: 50Sales: 2777trades
  • Purchases50
  • Sales27
$3.1M est. across 77 trades

Most traded by this delegation

Tim Moore
Tim Moore RNorth Carolina · District 142026: Nominee source (CSV)
64trades (12 mo)$2.9M est.volume0late (over 45 days)Aug 14, 2026last traded
43 purchases 21 sales
Net worth $10.2M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Vice Chairman, Oversight and Investigations
Virginia Foxx
Virginia Foxx RNorth Carolina · District 52026: Nominee source (CSV)
11trades (12 mo)$204K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Jun 30, 2026last traded
7 purchases 4 sales
Net worth $4.5M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, House Committee on Rules
David Rouzer
David Rouzer RNorth Carolina · District 72026: Nominee source (CSV)
2trades (12 mo)$16K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Dec 9, 2025last traded
0 purchases 2 sales
Net worth $566K (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Highways and Transit · Vice Chair, General Farm Commodities, Risk Management, and Credit
Addison P. McDowell
Addison P. McDowell RNorth Carolina · District 62026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Alma S. Adams
Alma S. Adams DNorth Carolina · District 122026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $408K (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Higher Education and Workforce Development
Brad Knott
Brad Knott RNorth Carolina · District 132026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $7.6M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chuck Edwards
Chuck Edwards RNorth Carolina · District 112026: Not on the November ballot source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $10.6M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Vice Chair, National Security, Department of State, and Related Programs
Deborah K. Ross
Deborah K. Ross DNorth Carolina · District 22026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $4.6M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Energy
Donald G. Davis
Donald G. Davis DNorth Carolina · District 12026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development
Mark Harris
Mark Harris RNorth Carolina · District 82026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $2.9M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Pat Harrigan
Pat Harrigan RNorth Carolina · District 102026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $5.8M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Richard Hudson
Richard Hudson RNorth Carolina · District 92026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, debts match or exceed assets, at midpoints. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, Communications and Technology
Ted Budd
Ted Budd RNorth CarolinaSeat not up in 2026

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $6.0M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Science, Manufacturing, and Competitiveness
Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis RNorth Carolina2026: Not on the November ballot source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $6.7M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Financial Institutions and Consumer Protection · Chairman, Intellectual Property
Valerie P. Foushee
Valerie P. Foushee DNorth Carolina · District 42026: Nominee source (CSV)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $33K (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Space and Aeronautics
  • Names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some members may be under-counted.

Source: Senate eFD and House Clerk periodic transaction reports, trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; annual financial disclosures for net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Federal money, disasters, jobs

Federal money, fiscal year 2025

Award obligations by place of performance; per resident uses Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates; direct payments apart
$54.54B in contracts, grants and other assistance
Contracts $9.34BGrants $44.36BOther assistance $847.5M

Direct payments: $74.84B. Not in the comparison above: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live.

Loans (face value): $8.00B

FEMA major disasters since 2021

One dot per disaster, by declaration date
20222023202420252026
Hurricane or tropical storm 4Severe Storm 1

Unemployment rate

Seasonally adjusted; the dashed line is the US
3.5% in Aug 2026 (preliminary); down 0.4 points from a year earlier. US 4.1% in Aug 2026. The national rate for Sep 2026 is 4.2%.
3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%
Jan 2025Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026
North CarolinaUS

Source: USAspending.gov, FY2025 (fetched Oct 7, 2026); Census Bureau Vintage 2025 estimates; OpenFEMA, through Oct 2, 2026; BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, through Aug 2026; US rate from the Current Population Survey, through Sep 2026, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Notes on North Carolina

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

FEC bulk files fetched Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; outside spending since Jan 1, 2025, through Oct 8, 2026.

Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026; roster as of Sep 27, 2026.

How we count, sources and notices

Where the money is going

Outside groups have reported $1.92B for or against 2026 candidates (including $1.13B counted from 24/48-hour notices); named spenders' purchases dated in the 4 weeks to Oct 4 come to $848.8M.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

Outside money by week

Named purchases by week, for and against. Spenders that are not named are in the total above but not in this chart.
For a candidateAgainst a candidateDashed line: the week so far. Dotted verticals: reports due Oct 15 and Oct 22, Election Day Nov 3. Shaded: the days left
Traders on the ballot

91 incumbents on the ballot reported trades in the last 12 months; the largest by estimated volume, Rep. Jefferson Shreve (R, IN-6), reported 17 trades worth about $207.0M (est.), 50% of the $413.0M (est.) all of them reported.

We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. Trades in the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate (est.).
Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; campaign receipts mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

All races and states

Every race, every state

Races

Every state, ranked

The 50 states and DC, sorted by any column, with the territories at the foot (not ranked). The same figures the map shows. Pick a row to open that state. Unemployment: the state's rate, and its difference from the US rate for the same month.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; federal awards FY2025; unemployment Aug 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every state, ranked by outside money; select a column header to sort
#
1TexasYes38 (13 open)$350.0Mn/a$168.8M949$73.1M est.36n/a4.4% (+0.3)7
2MichiganYes13 (3 open)$218.9Mn/a$70.3M506$5.3M est.3n/a5.0% (+0.9)4
3OhioSpecial15 (0 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$200.0Mn/a$91.1M237$2.5M est.11n/a3.3% (-0.8)2
4IowaYes4 (2 open)$107.9Mn/a$45.5M0None0n/a3.2% (-0.9)7
5North CarolinaYes14 (1 open)$94.0Mn/a$80.4M77$3.1M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)5
6MaineYes2 (1 open)$82.2Mn/a$20.4M17$301K est.1n/a3.2% (-0.9)8
7KentuckyYes6 (2 open)$75.8Mn/a$27.2M7$81K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)15
8New YorkNo26 (5 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$74.8Mn/a$145.2M20$797K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)9
9CaliforniaNo52 (4 open)$71.1Mn/a$156.7M4,701$169.0M est.72n/a5.1% (+1.0)16
10AlaskaYes1 (0 open)$65.3Mn/a$34.5M2$550K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)18
11IllinoisYes17 (2 open, plus 7 not yet confirmed)$57.5Mn/a$62.6M52$1.5M est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)4
12FloridaSpecial28 (7 open)$53.6Mn/a$90.5M348$9.8M est.3n/a4.5% (+0.4)10
13New HampshireYes2 (1 open)$50.7Mn/a$35.9M0None0n/a2.8% (-1.3)8
14GeorgiaYes14 (4 open)$43.4Mn/a$113.5M127$5.5M est.8n/a3.2% (-0.9)6
15South CarolinaYes7 (2 open)$28.5Mn/a$21.5M76$3.2M est.1n/a4.1% (0.0)5
16AlabamaYes7 (1 open)$28.3Mn/a$16.3M25$561K est.6n/a3.4% (-0.7)5
17MinnesotaYes8 (1 open)$28.2Mn/a$40.7M57$3.3M est.4n/a4.4% (+0.3)6
18PennsylvaniaNo17 (0 open, plus 3 not yet confirmed)$27.2Mn/a$67.1M338$66.5M est.1n/a3.7% (-0.4)2
19LouisianaYes6 (2 open)$27.2Mn/a$47.2M139$4.9M est.17n/a4.2% (+0.1)7
20NebraskaYes3 (1 open)$25.7Mn/a$26.5M1$8K est.0n/a2.9% (-1.2)12
21MontanaYes2 (1 open)$24.7Mn/a$10.7M2$83K est.2n/a3.2% (-0.9)13
22ColoradoYes8 (1 open)$24.2Mn/a$49.3M7$583K est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)4
23New JerseyYes12 (1 open)$19.1Mn/a$51.7M210$8.1M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
24ArizonaNo9 (0 open, plus 5 not yet confirmed)$17.4Mn/a$54.8M2$208K est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)8
25VirginiaYes11 (0 open)$13.9Mn/a$64.8M44$1.7M est.0n/a3.6% (-0.5)6
26MarylandNo8 (1 open)$13.1Mn/a$28.1M360$8.4M est.0n/a4.1% (0.0)1
27KansasYes4 (0 open)$12.8Mn/a$17.7M7$81K est.0n/a3.8% (-0.3)14
28WisconsinNo8 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$12.1Mn/a$29.4M45$9.9M est.0n/a3.2% (-0.9)2
29MassachusettsYes9 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$11.1Mn/a$29.0M46$4.6M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
30MissouriNo8 (1 open)$10.8Mn/a$19.8M19$2.3M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)14
31WyomingYes1 (1 open)$8.4Mn/a$4.1M0None0n/a3.0% (-1.1)2
32WashingtonNo10 (1 open)$8.2Mn/a$27.7M108$7.8M est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)11
33UtahNo4 (1 open)$5.4Mn/a$7.6M25$901K est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)2
34ArkansasYes4 (0 open)$5.0Mn/a$19.7M186$2.0M est.6n/a3.9% (-0.2)7
35MississippiYes4 (0 open)$4.5Mn/a$10.7M10$80K est.3n/a3.4% (-0.7)9
36NevadaNo4 (1 open)$4.2Mn/a$18.8M3$24K est.0n/a4.8% (+0.7)1
37OklahomaYes5 (1 open)$3.9Mn/a$19.4M892$45.5M est.693n/a4.3% (+0.2)11
38TennesseeYes9 (3 open)$3.6Mn/a$29.5M120$8.4M est.1n/a3.4% (-0.7)16
39ConnecticutNo5 (1 open)$2.6Mn/a$8.4M36$2.7M est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)3
40New MexicoYes3 (0 open)$2.4Mn/a$14.1M0None0n/a4.7% (+0.6)6
41South DakotaYes1 (1 open)$1.6Mn/a$5.7M1$3.0M est.1n/a2.0% (-2.1)12
42IndianaNo9 (0 open)$1.3Mn/a$20.5M22$207.1M est.0n/a3.3% (-0.8)3
43West VirginiaYes2 (0 open)$625Kn/a$8.0M40$50.4M est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)11
44OregonYes6 (0 open)$618Kn/a$15.3M1$8K est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)6
45District of ColumbiaNoDelegate$308Kn/a$833K1$33K est.0n/a5.7% (+1.6)0
46HawaiiNo2 (0 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$100Kn/a$3.4M5$40K est.1n/a2.7% (-1.4)6
47DelawareYes1 (0 open)$12Kn/a$9.4M1$175K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)2
48IdahoYes2 (0 open)$6Kn/a$6.1M0None0n/a3.6% (-0.5)4
49Rhode IslandYes2 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$9.7M38$932K est.0n/a3.7% (-0.4)4
49VermontNo1 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$1.0M0None0n/a2.6% (-1.5)9
51North DakotaNo1 (0 open)$0n/a$1.9M0None0n/a2.2% (-1.9)9
Puerto RicoNoNone in 2026No federal raceNo federal raceNo federal race0None0$3,164 (2020 Census)6.1% (+2.0)4
GuamNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$168K0None0$26,794 (2020 Census)n/a2
U.S. Virgin IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$713K0None0$116,856 (2020 Census)n/a1
American SamoaNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$39K0None0$8,658 (2020 Census)n/a1
Northern Mariana IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$81K0None0$1,964 (2020 Census)n/a3
Balance of power

Republicans hold the Senate 53 to 47 and the House 218 to 214.

Seats as held today. Not a forecast. 35 seats on the ballot. Control takes 51 seats, or 50 plus the Vice President's tie-break (R). Democrats and the independents who caucus with them would need a net gain of 4; Republicans can lose 3 and keep control. All 435 seats on the ballot. 218 seats make a majority. 69 seats have no incumbent on the ballot; in 22 more the incumbent is not yet confirmed.
Senate 100 seats, 35 up
House 435 seats, all up, 2 vacant
  • 53 R, 45 D, 2 ISenate seats held
  • 35Senate seats up: 22 R, 13 D
  • 82Open seats: 13 Senate, 69 House; plus 1 delegate race. 22 more not yet confirmed (0 Senate, 22 House)
  • FL, OHSpecial Senate elections
  • 4Appointed senators
  • 5 upDelegates; PR not up

How we count

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win. Every figure comes from a public record: FEC filings, congressional disclosures, USAspending.gov, BLS and FEMA. Trade volumes and net worth are estimates (est.) from the ranges filed.

Read the full method
Campaign money
Total receipts each 2026 House and Senate campaign reported to the FEC for the 2025-26 two-year period: the figure fec.gov shows when the 2026 two-year period is selected (a senator's candidate page opens on the six-year term, which also counts earlier years). Receipts include money transferred from a candidate's other committees, such as a joint fundraising committee or an earlier campaign. State and national totals subtract transfers between committees we already count, so no dollar is counted twice. A candidate with two FEC IDs is counted once. Totals run through each campaign's latest report; most run through June 30, 2026. Third-quarter reports (through September 30) are due October 15 and pre-general reports (through October 14) are due October 22.
Leading campaigns
The Democratic and the Republican campaign with the most receipts (the incumbent's, where the incumbent is on the ballot), plus any other campaign with at least 15% of the race leader's receipts. Where we cite an official list of the November ballot (most Senate races, and California's and Washington's House races, where two candidates of one party can meet), the candidates on it. Where a rival of the incumbent's own party raised more than the incumbent and no official source we cite settles the primary, both are listed. Other races can include candidates who lost a primary.
Outside money
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC for or against 2026 House and Senate candidates since January 1, 2025, from KeyVex's copy of FEC Schedule E: every line a filer reports, including purchases under $1,000 (amounts under $1,000 are shown as <$1K). A purchase reported on a 24- or 48-hour notice and again on a regular report is counted once, from the notice until KeyVex's copy has the regular report. Notices can be revised, and totals that include them can run ahead of FEC's own figures. Spenders that may be individuals are not named; their totals appear as one unnamed line and are left out of the weekly chart and the list of recent spending. Purchases for an earlier election, such as a 2025 special election, and purchases dated after Election Day are left out. Coordinated party spending is not included.
Trades
Periodic transaction reports filed with the Senate and the House (stocks, funds, bonds, notes and other securities), by trade date, for the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026. Dollar figures are midpoints of the ranges filed, so every volume is an estimate (est.). A Senate trade restated by an amendment, and a House trade on a re-filed report we have identified, is counted once; House amendments carry no marker, so a House trade filed again on a later report can be counted twice. Trades our identity check could not tie to the member are left out, and names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some totals are low.
Disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
Counted from the first report that listed the trade. The law sets 45 days after the transaction as the outer limit for reporting; this compares two dates printed on the filings and is not a finding that any law was broken. Dates more than two years apart are treated as a likely typo, listed as dates to verify and not counted.
Net worth (est.)
KeyVex's estimate from the member's latest annual financial disclosure: the midpoint of the listed asset ranges less the midpoint of the listed debts. The form does not list a member's home. Where the ranges cannot support a figure above zero we say why instead of showing a number.
Seats and status
Members from the congress-legislators roster, compiled from official sources, as of Sep 27, 2026. We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. A seat is listed as open when an official source we cite says the incumbent is not on the ballot, when the FEC lists the race as an open seat and the incumbent has no 2026 campaign of their own, when no incumbent filed for the district under its 2026 lines, or when the seat is vacant. Otherwise the incumbent is not confirmed, and we say what the FEC shows: a 2026 campaign on file, or none. Candidates on the November ballot are listed only with a link to an official election office's candidate list, ballot or results; "Nominee" marks a party's nominee, and candidates on Alaska's top-four ballot, California's and Washington's top-two ballots, or on the ballot by petition are marked "On the ballot".
Federal money
Fiscal year 2025 federal award obligations by place of performance, from USAspending.gov. The map and the table rank contracts, grants and other assistance per resident, using Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates (2020 Census counts for Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands). Direct payments are shown apart in each state's report and left out of the ranking: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live. Loans are shown separately at face value.
Disasters
Major disaster declarations (FEMA declaration type DR) since 2021, counted once per disaster.
Unemployment
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, seasonally adjusted, latest month (preliminary). National rate from the Current Population Survey.
District lines
Nine states use new district lines in 2026: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah. Missouri's new map is not in effect. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.
Louisiana
Each Louisiana House race is an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority: every candidate on that ballot is marked "On the ballot".

Sources

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026. Roster as of Sep 27, 2026. Government statistics fetched Oct 7, 2026; FEMA declarations through Oct 2, 2026. Nothing here is a forecast or a recommendation.

Notices

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
  • State boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files via us-atlas (ISC license, copyright Michael Bostock).