KeyVex › 2026 Midterms › Louisiana

Follow the money into the midterms

26days to Election DayTuesday, Nov 3
Updated Oct 8, 10:20 PM ET
Data as of

Every federal race on the ballot, the money behind it, and what the incumbents do with their own money: campaign cash, outside spending, stock trades, estimated net worth and the federal dollars flowing into each state. Public records, refreshed twice a day.

  • Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026
  • Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026
  • Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026
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Who holds the seats up in 2026

View as table
Senate raceSpecial election

Who holds the seat today. Not a forecast.

Source: Senate and House rosters, as of Sep 27, 2026

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

State report

Louisiana

On the ballot Nov 3U.S. SenateU.S. House (6 seats)
  • New district lines for 2026
  • House primary on Nov 3; runoff Dec 12
Campaign totals mostly through Jul 18, 2026, each campaign through its latest report; outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

At a glance

Outside money
$27.2M$13.8M for, $13.4M against, including $7K from 1 filer not namedincludes $2.4M from 24/48-hour notices
#19 of 51Median state $13.1M
Campaign money (leading campaigns)
$47.2M2025-26 receipts of the leading campaigns in this state's 2026 racesAll filers: $76.4M
#15 of 51Median state $26.5M
Delegation trading (12 mo)
$4.9M est.139 trades by this state's members in the last 12 months; 17 disclosed more than 45 days after the tradeOne member accounts for 90% of this
#15 of 51Median state $1.5M est.
Federal awards
$27.76BFY2025 contracts, grants and other assistance; per resident n/a (no population figure). Direct payments are shown apart, below

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

FEMA major disasters since 2021: 7Unemployment 4.2% (Aug 2026); US 4.1% (Aug 2026)

Source: FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026 and FEC campaign reports (2025-26 receipts), mostly through Jul 18, 2026; Senate and House periodic transaction reports disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; USAspending.gov (FY2025) and Census Bureau population estimates (Vintage 2025), as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Senate (Class II)

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source)
Bill Cassidy
Not on the November ballot source
No trades in the last 12 months.
Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions

On the November ballot

Julia Letlow R Rep., LA-5 Nominee source
Raised $6.2MSpent $4.8MCash $1.4Mthrough Jun 30, 2026
includes $4.0M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 12%
Against $10.9MOutside moneyFor $12.4M
includes $1.1M from 24/48-hour notices
Top spenders

For

  1. Accountability Project IncSuper PAC · 30 purchases · latest Jul 15, 2026$9.5M filing
  2. American MissionSuper PAC · 6 purchases · latest Sep 15, 2026$1.2M filing
  3. Save American FreedomSuper PAC · 14 purchases · latest Jun 25, 2026$763K filing
  4. High Plains PACSuper PAC · 2 purchases · latest Oct 2, 2026$365K filing
  5. Fellowship PACSuper PAC · 1 purchase · latest Apr 9, 2026$350K filing

Against

  1. Louisiana Freedom FundSuper PAC · 33 purchases · latest May 6, 2026$10.8M filing
  2. Red Bayou PACSuper PAC · 3 purchases · latest Jun 25, 2026$45K filing
Against: 1 filer not named: $1K
"Jamie" Davis D Nominee source
Raised $2.0MSpent $1.5MCash $479Kthrough Jun 30, 2026
debts $10K
Also filed with the FEC (21), $28.6M raised; $2.4M in outside money for or against them

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (through Jun 30, 2026); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; Senate disclosures for the incumbent's trades and net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

House races

6 races, 2 open. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.

Each House race is an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority. Each race shows the candidates on its official November list. Open a row for its campaigns: raised spent cash on hand, on one scale per race, through Jul 18, 2026 unless another date is shown.

Districts: outside moneyNew lines
None reportedUnder $250K$250K to $1M$1M to $5M$5M to $15M$15M or moreBorder: incumbent's party; dashed: openIncumbent traded (12 mo)
District 1Steve ScaliseSteve Scalise ROn the ballotSteve Scalise R $10.6M / $3.9MLauren Jewett D $143K / $12KE. "Liddy" Glass No Party n/a / n/aRandall Arrington R n/a / n/aNone00

Steve Scalise: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Steve Scalise R Incumbent$10.6M raised · $10.9M spent · $3.9M cashincludes $9.1M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 2%
  • Lauren Jewett D$143K raised · $131K spent · $12K cash
  • E. "Liddy" Glass No PartyNo FEC filing on file
  • Randall Arrington R No FEC filing on file
Also filed with the FEC (4), $0 raised
District 2Troy A. CarterTroy A. Carter DOn the ballotTroy A. Carter D $1.4M / $383KLisa Ballay Libertarian n/a / n/aPeter Williams R n/a / n/aRenada "Honey" Collins No Party n/a / n/aNone00

Troy A. Carter: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Troy A. Carter D Incumbent$1.4M raised · $1.5M spent · $383K cashfrom PACs 67% · debts $25K
  • Lisa Ballay LibertarianRegistered; no financial report on file yet
  • Peter Williams RRegistered; no financial report on file yet
  • Renada "Honey" Collins No Party No FEC filing on file
  • Walter "Rocky" Beach No Party No FEC filing on file
District 3Clay HigginsClay Higgins ROn the ballotClay Higgins R $823K / $595KJohn David Day D $23K / $7KTia Marie Lebrun No Party $7K / $3K"Kate" Cotten R n/a / n/a<$1K00

Clay Higgins: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Clay Higgins R Incumbent$823K raised · $552K spent · $595K cashincludes $486K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 16%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Freedom Caucus Fund <$1K.
  • John David Day D$23K raised · $16K spent · $7K cashdebts $5K
  • Tia Marie Lebrun No Party$7K raised · $4K spent · $3K cashself-funded 34% · debts $2K
  • "Kate" Cotten R No FEC filing on file
  • Caleb "With a C" Walker D No FEC filing on file
  • Priscilla Gonzalez D Registered; no financial report on file yet
District 4Mike JohnsonMike Johnson ROn the ballotMike Johnson R $21.0M / $9.6MMatthew Gromlich D $269K / $10KConrad Roberts Cable D $239K / $28KMichael Nichols R $50K / <$1K$125K00

Mike Johnson: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Mike Johnson R Incumbent$21.0M raised · $12.6M spent · $9.6M cashincludes $6.9M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 9%
    Outside money: against $125K, for <$1K, includes $125K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Freedom Caucus Fund <$1K. Top against: A Real Bottom Line PAC $125K.
  • Matthew Gromlich D$269K raised · $259K spent · $10K cashself-funded 76% · debts $200K
  • Conrad Roberts Cable D$239K raised · $211K spent · $28K cash
  • Michael Nichols R raised $50K, cash <$1K, through Jul 19, 2026
  • Gordon Heslop R No FEC filing on file
District 5Open seat outgoing:Julia LetlowJulia Letlow RSenate nomineeMichael Charles Echols R $3.0M / $1.1MMisti Smith Cordell R $556K / $149KDan McKay D $90K / -$19KMichael Gabriel Firment R $49K / $48K$172K63$504K est.17

Julia Letlow: Senate nominee source. 63 trades in the last 12 months, $504K est., 17 disclosed more than 45 days after the trade. Trades and net worth

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source)

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Michael Charles Echols R$3.0M raised · $1.9M spent · $1.1M cashself-funded 82% · debts $1.6M
    Outside money: against $0, for $100K. Top for: Louisiana Growth and Future Fund $81K, GOPAC Election Fund $19K.
  • Misti Smith Cordell R$556K raised · $407K spent · $149K cashself-funded 37% · from PACs 2% · debts $207K
    Outside money: against $0, for $35K. Top for: Conservative Leaders of America $35K.
  • Dan McKay D$90K raised · $109K spent · -$19K cashself-funded 44% · debts $39K
  • Michael Gabriel Firment R raised $49K, cash $48K
  • Stewart Cathey Jr. R raised $14K, cash $13K
  • Austin Magee R raised $9K, cash $1K, through Jun 30, 2026
  • Antonio Wilson D Registered; no financial report on file yet
  • Oscar "Omar" Dantzler R Registered; no financial report on file yet
  • Patricia Ann Moore D Registered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (6), $2.2M raised; $70K in outside money for or against them
District 6Open seat outgoing:Cleo FieldsCleo Fields DNot on the November ballotRick Edmonds R $512K / $315KAnjanita Monique Appeaning R $104K / $39KMichael Edward Mebruer R $71K / $14KLindsay Garcia D $65K / $36K$1.1M76$4.4M est.0

Cleo Fields: Not on the November ballot source. 76 trades in the last 12 months, $4.4M est. Trades and net worth

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source)

On the ballot in an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority official list

  • Rick Edmonds R$512K raised · $197K spent · $315K cashself-funded 30% · from PACs 3% · debts $155K
    Outside money: against $864K, for $238K, includes $864K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Louisiana First Victory Fund $238K. Top against: Club for Growth Action $864K.
  • Anjanita Monique Appeaning R$104K raised · $66K spent · $39K cashself-funded 49% · debts $51K
  • Michael Edward Mebruer R$71K raised · $53K spent · $14K cashthrough Sep 30, 2026 · self-funded 100%
  • Lindsay Garcia D raised $65K, cash $36K
  • Larry Davis III R raised $22K, cash -$1K
  • Blake Miguez R No FEC filing on file
  • Chauna Banks D Registered; no financial report on file yet
  • Patrick Wayne Forbes D Registered; no financial report on file yet
  • Rufus H Craig Jr. Libertarian Registered; no financial report on file yet
  • Stephen Wagley R Registered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (2), $833K raised

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (mostly through Jul 18, 2026, each campaign through its latest report); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; House disclosures for incumbents' trades, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

The delegation's own money

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every current member from Louisiana, including senators not up this year. Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate from the ranges filed.

Estimated volume by member (12 mo)

Cleo Fields D$4.4M est.Julia Letlow R$504K est.

No trades in the last 12 months: Bill Cassidy, Clay Higgins, John Kennedy, Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, Troy A. Carter

Purchases: 96Sales: 43139trades
  • Purchases96
  • Sales43
$4.9M est. across 139 trades; 17 disclosed more than 45 days after the trade

Most traded by this delegation

Cleo Fields
Cleo Fields DLouisiana · District 62026: Not on the November ballot source
76trades (12 mo)$4.4M est.volume0late (over 45 days)Sep 14, 2026last traded
66 purchases 10 sales
Net worth $58.5M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Julia Letlow
Julia Letlow RLouisiana · District 52026: Senate nominee source
63trades (12 mo)$504K est.volume17late (over 45 days)Feb 20, 2026last traded
30 purchases 33 sales
Net worth $1.4M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Vice Chair, Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies
17 trades disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
  • STT $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 21, 2025, first disclosed Jan 13, 2026, 53 days · filing
  • SF $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 3, 2025, first disclosed Jan 13, 2026, 71 days · filing
  • DIS $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 3, 2025, first disclosed Jan 13, 2026, 71 days · filing
  • CMG $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 3, 2025, first disclosed Jan 13, 2026, 71 days · filing
  • KO $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 3, 2025, first disclosed Jan 13, 2026, 71 days · filing

The 5 most recent are listed.

Bill Cassidy
Bill Cassidy RLouisiana2026: Not on the November ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions
Clay Higgins
Clay Higgins RLouisiana · District 32026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, newest report not readable yet. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Federal Law Enforcement
John Kennedy
John Kennedy RLouisianaSeat not up in 2026

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $18.8M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Energy and Water Development · Chairman, Economic Policy
Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson RLouisiana · District 42026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, newest report not readable yet. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Steve Scalise
Steve Scalise RLouisiana · District 12026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, no asset with a stated value. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Troy A. Carter
Troy A. Carter DLouisiana · District 22026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, newest report not readable yet. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
  • Names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some members may be under-counted.

Source: Senate eFD and House Clerk periodic transaction reports, trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; annual financial disclosures for net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Federal money, disasters, jobs

Federal money, fiscal year 2025

Award obligations by place of performance; per resident uses Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates; direct payments apart
$27.76B in contracts, grants and other assistance
Contracts $4.76BGrants $22.80BOther assistance $209.9M

Direct payments: $32.04B. Not in the comparison above: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live.

Loans (face value): $2.77B

FEMA major disasters since 2021

One dot per disaster, by declaration date
20222023202420252026
Hurricane or tropical storm 4Flood 1Severe Storm 2

Unemployment rate

Seasonally adjusted; the dashed line is the US
4.2% in Aug 2026 (preliminary); up 0.0 points from a year earlier. US 4.1% in Aug 2026. The national rate for Sep 2026 is 4.2%.
3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%
Jan 2025Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026
LouisianaUS

Source: USAspending.gov, FY2025 (fetched Oct 7, 2026); Census Bureau Vintage 2025 estimates; OpenFEMA, through Oct 2, 2026; BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, through Aug 2026; US rate from the Current Population Survey, through Sep 2026, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Notes on Louisiana

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

FEC bulk files fetched Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; outside spending since Jan 1, 2025, through Oct 8, 2026.

Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026; roster as of Sep 27, 2026.

How we count, sources and notices

Where the money is going

Outside groups have reported $1.92B for or against 2026 candidates (including $1.13B counted from 24/48-hour notices); named spenders' purchases dated in the 4 weeks to Oct 4 come to $848.8M.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

Outside money by week

Named purchases by week, for and against. Spenders that are not named are in the total above but not in this chart.
For a candidateAgainst a candidateDashed line: the week so far. Dotted verticals: reports due Oct 15 and Oct 22, Election Day Nov 3. Shaded: the days left
Traders on the ballot

91 incumbents on the ballot reported trades in the last 12 months; the largest by estimated volume, Rep. Jefferson Shreve (R, IN-6), reported 17 trades worth about $207.0M (est.), 50% of the $413.0M (est.) all of them reported.

We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. Trades in the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate (est.).
Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; campaign receipts mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

All races and states

Every race, every state

Races

Every state, ranked

The 50 states and DC, sorted by any column, with the territories at the foot (not ranked). The same figures the map shows. Pick a row to open that state. Unemployment: the state's rate, and its difference from the US rate for the same month.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; federal awards FY2025; unemployment Aug 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every state, ranked by outside money; select a column header to sort
#
1TexasYes38 (13 open)$350.0Mn/a$168.8M949$73.1M est.36n/a4.4% (+0.3)7
2MichiganYes13 (3 open)$218.9Mn/a$70.3M506$5.3M est.3n/a5.0% (+0.9)4
3OhioSpecial15 (0 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$200.0Mn/a$91.1M237$2.5M est.11n/a3.3% (-0.8)2
4IowaYes4 (2 open)$107.9Mn/a$45.5M0None0n/a3.2% (-0.9)7
5North CarolinaYes14 (1 open)$94.0Mn/a$80.4M77$3.1M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)5
6MaineYes2 (1 open)$82.2Mn/a$20.4M17$301K est.1n/a3.2% (-0.9)8
7KentuckyYes6 (2 open)$75.8Mn/a$27.2M7$81K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)15
8New YorkNo26 (5 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$74.8Mn/a$145.2M20$797K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)9
9CaliforniaNo52 (4 open)$71.1Mn/a$156.7M4,701$169.0M est.72n/a5.1% (+1.0)16
10AlaskaYes1 (0 open)$65.3Mn/a$34.5M2$550K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)18
11IllinoisYes17 (2 open, plus 7 not yet confirmed)$57.5Mn/a$62.6M52$1.5M est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)4
12FloridaSpecial28 (7 open)$53.6Mn/a$90.5M348$9.8M est.3n/a4.5% (+0.4)10
13New HampshireYes2 (1 open)$50.7Mn/a$35.9M0None0n/a2.8% (-1.3)8
14GeorgiaYes14 (4 open)$43.4Mn/a$113.5M127$5.5M est.8n/a3.2% (-0.9)6
15South CarolinaYes7 (2 open)$28.5Mn/a$21.5M76$3.2M est.1n/a4.1% (0.0)5
16AlabamaYes7 (1 open)$28.3Mn/a$16.3M25$561K est.6n/a3.4% (-0.7)5
17MinnesotaYes8 (1 open)$28.2Mn/a$40.7M57$3.3M est.4n/a4.4% (+0.3)6
18PennsylvaniaNo17 (0 open, plus 3 not yet confirmed)$27.2Mn/a$67.1M338$66.5M est.1n/a3.7% (-0.4)2
19LouisianaYes6 (2 open)$27.2Mn/a$47.2M139$4.9M est.17n/a4.2% (+0.1)7
20NebraskaYes3 (1 open)$25.7Mn/a$26.5M1$8K est.0n/a2.9% (-1.2)12
21MontanaYes2 (1 open)$24.7Mn/a$10.7M2$83K est.2n/a3.2% (-0.9)13
22ColoradoYes8 (1 open)$24.2Mn/a$49.3M7$583K est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)4
23New JerseyYes12 (1 open)$19.1Mn/a$51.7M210$8.1M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
24ArizonaNo9 (0 open, plus 5 not yet confirmed)$17.4Mn/a$54.8M2$208K est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)8
25VirginiaYes11 (0 open)$13.9Mn/a$64.8M44$1.7M est.0n/a3.6% (-0.5)6
26MarylandNo8 (1 open)$13.1Mn/a$28.1M360$8.4M est.0n/a4.1% (0.0)1
27KansasYes4 (0 open)$12.8Mn/a$17.7M7$81K est.0n/a3.8% (-0.3)14
28WisconsinNo8 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$12.1Mn/a$29.4M45$9.9M est.0n/a3.2% (-0.9)2
29MassachusettsYes9 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$11.1Mn/a$29.0M46$4.6M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
30MissouriNo8 (1 open)$10.8Mn/a$19.8M19$2.3M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)14
31WyomingYes1 (1 open)$8.4Mn/a$4.1M0None0n/a3.0% (-1.1)2
32WashingtonNo10 (1 open)$8.2Mn/a$27.7M108$7.8M est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)11
33UtahNo4 (1 open)$5.4Mn/a$7.6M25$901K est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)2
34ArkansasYes4 (0 open)$5.0Mn/a$19.7M186$2.0M est.6n/a3.9% (-0.2)7
35MississippiYes4 (0 open)$4.5Mn/a$10.7M10$80K est.3n/a3.4% (-0.7)9
36NevadaNo4 (1 open)$4.2Mn/a$18.8M3$24K est.0n/a4.8% (+0.7)1
37OklahomaYes5 (1 open)$3.9Mn/a$19.4M892$45.5M est.693n/a4.3% (+0.2)11
38TennesseeYes9 (3 open)$3.6Mn/a$29.5M120$8.4M est.1n/a3.4% (-0.7)16
39ConnecticutNo5 (1 open)$2.6Mn/a$8.4M36$2.7M est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)3
40New MexicoYes3 (0 open)$2.4Mn/a$14.1M0None0n/a4.7% (+0.6)6
41South DakotaYes1 (1 open)$1.6Mn/a$5.7M1$3.0M est.1n/a2.0% (-2.1)12
42IndianaNo9 (0 open)$1.3Mn/a$20.5M22$207.1M est.0n/a3.3% (-0.8)3
43West VirginiaYes2 (0 open)$625Kn/a$8.0M40$50.4M est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)11
44OregonYes6 (0 open)$618Kn/a$15.3M1$8K est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)6
45District of ColumbiaNoDelegate$308Kn/a$833K1$33K est.0n/a5.7% (+1.6)0
46HawaiiNo2 (0 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$100Kn/a$3.4M5$40K est.1n/a2.7% (-1.4)6
47DelawareYes1 (0 open)$12Kn/a$9.4M1$175K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)2
48IdahoYes2 (0 open)$6Kn/a$6.1M0None0n/a3.6% (-0.5)4
49Rhode IslandYes2 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$9.7M38$932K est.0n/a3.7% (-0.4)4
49VermontNo1 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$1.0M0None0n/a2.6% (-1.5)9
51North DakotaNo1 (0 open)$0n/a$1.9M0None0n/a2.2% (-1.9)9
Puerto RicoNoNone in 2026No federal raceNo federal raceNo federal race0None0$3,164 (2020 Census)6.1% (+2.0)4
GuamNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$168K0None0$26,794 (2020 Census)n/a2
U.S. Virgin IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$713K0None0$116,856 (2020 Census)n/a1
American SamoaNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$39K0None0$8,658 (2020 Census)n/a1
Northern Mariana IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$81K0None0$1,964 (2020 Census)n/a3
Balance of power

Republicans hold the Senate 53 to 47 and the House 218 to 214.

Seats as held today. Not a forecast. 35 seats on the ballot. Control takes 51 seats, or 50 plus the Vice President's tie-break (R). Democrats and the independents who caucus with them would need a net gain of 4; Republicans can lose 3 and keep control. All 435 seats on the ballot. 218 seats make a majority. 69 seats have no incumbent on the ballot; in 22 more the incumbent is not yet confirmed.
Senate 100 seats, 35 up
House 435 seats, all up, 2 vacant
  • 53 R, 45 D, 2 ISenate seats held
  • 35Senate seats up: 22 R, 13 D
  • 82Open seats: 13 Senate, 69 House; plus 1 delegate race. 22 more not yet confirmed (0 Senate, 22 House)
  • FL, OHSpecial Senate elections
  • 4Appointed senators
  • 5 upDelegates; PR not up

How we count

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win. Every figure comes from a public record: FEC filings, congressional disclosures, USAspending.gov, BLS and FEMA. Trade volumes and net worth are estimates (est.) from the ranges filed.

Read the full method
Campaign money
Total receipts each 2026 House and Senate campaign reported to the FEC for the 2025-26 two-year period: the figure fec.gov shows when the 2026 two-year period is selected (a senator's candidate page opens on the six-year term, which also counts earlier years). Receipts include money transferred from a candidate's other committees, such as a joint fundraising committee or an earlier campaign. State and national totals subtract transfers between committees we already count, so no dollar is counted twice. A candidate with two FEC IDs is counted once. Totals run through each campaign's latest report; most run through June 30, 2026. Third-quarter reports (through September 30) are due October 15 and pre-general reports (through October 14) are due October 22.
Leading campaigns
The Democratic and the Republican campaign with the most receipts (the incumbent's, where the incumbent is on the ballot), plus any other campaign with at least 15% of the race leader's receipts. Where we cite an official list of the November ballot (most Senate races, and California's and Washington's House races, where two candidates of one party can meet), the candidates on it. Where a rival of the incumbent's own party raised more than the incumbent and no official source we cite settles the primary, both are listed. Other races can include candidates who lost a primary.
Outside money
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC for or against 2026 House and Senate candidates since January 1, 2025, from KeyVex's copy of FEC Schedule E: every line a filer reports, including purchases under $1,000 (amounts under $1,000 are shown as <$1K). A purchase reported on a 24- or 48-hour notice and again on a regular report is counted once, from the notice until KeyVex's copy has the regular report. Notices can be revised, and totals that include them can run ahead of FEC's own figures. Spenders that may be individuals are not named; their totals appear as one unnamed line and are left out of the weekly chart and the list of recent spending. Purchases for an earlier election, such as a 2025 special election, and purchases dated after Election Day are left out. Coordinated party spending is not included.
Trades
Periodic transaction reports filed with the Senate and the House (stocks, funds, bonds, notes and other securities), by trade date, for the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026. Dollar figures are midpoints of the ranges filed, so every volume is an estimate (est.). A Senate trade restated by an amendment, and a House trade on a re-filed report we have identified, is counted once; House amendments carry no marker, so a House trade filed again on a later report can be counted twice. Trades our identity check could not tie to the member are left out, and names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some totals are low.
Disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
Counted from the first report that listed the trade. The law sets 45 days after the transaction as the outer limit for reporting; this compares two dates printed on the filings and is not a finding that any law was broken. Dates more than two years apart are treated as a likely typo, listed as dates to verify and not counted.
Net worth (est.)
KeyVex's estimate from the member's latest annual financial disclosure: the midpoint of the listed asset ranges less the midpoint of the listed debts. The form does not list a member's home. Where the ranges cannot support a figure above zero we say why instead of showing a number.
Seats and status
Members from the congress-legislators roster, compiled from official sources, as of Sep 27, 2026. We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. A seat is listed as open when an official source we cite says the incumbent is not on the ballot, when the FEC lists the race as an open seat and the incumbent has no 2026 campaign of their own, when no incumbent filed for the district under its 2026 lines, or when the seat is vacant. Otherwise the incumbent is not confirmed, and we say what the FEC shows: a 2026 campaign on file, or none. Candidates on the November ballot are listed only with a link to an official election office's candidate list, ballot or results; "Nominee" marks a party's nominee, and candidates on Alaska's top-four ballot, California's and Washington's top-two ballots, or on the ballot by petition are marked "On the ballot".
Federal money
Fiscal year 2025 federal award obligations by place of performance, from USAspending.gov. The map and the table rank contracts, grants and other assistance per resident, using Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates (2020 Census counts for Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands). Direct payments are shown apart in each state's report and left out of the ranking: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live. Loans are shown separately at face value.
Disasters
Major disaster declarations (FEMA declaration type DR) since 2021, counted once per disaster.
Unemployment
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, seasonally adjusted, latest month (preliminary). National rate from the Current Population Survey.
District lines
Nine states use new district lines in 2026: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah. Missouri's new map is not in effect. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.
Louisiana
Each Louisiana House race is an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority: every candidate on that ballot is marked "On the ballot".

Sources

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026. Roster as of Sep 27, 2026. Government statistics fetched Oct 7, 2026; FEMA declarations through Oct 2, 2026. Nothing here is a forecast or a recommendation.

Notices

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
  • State boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files via us-atlas (ISC license, copyright Michael Bostock).