KeyVex › 2026 Midterms › Washington

Follow the money into the midterms

26days to Election DayTuesday, Nov 3
Updated Oct 8, 10:20 PM ET
Data as of

Every federal race on the ballot, the money behind it, and what the incumbents do with their own money: campaign cash, outside spending, stock trades, estimated net worth and the federal dollars flowing into each state. Public records, refreshed twice a day.

  • Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026
  • Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026
  • Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026
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Who holds the seats up in 2026

View as table
Senate raceSpecial election

Who holds the seat today. Not a forecast.

Source: Senate and House rosters, as of Sep 27, 2026

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

State report

Washington

On the ballot Nov 3U.S. House (10 seats)
Campaign totals mostly through Jul 15, 2026, each campaign through its latest report; outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

At a glance

Outside money
$8.2M$4.3M for, $3.8M againstincludes $4.7M from 24/48-hour notices
#32 of 51Median state $13.1M
Campaign money (leading campaigns)
$27.7M2025-26 receipts of the leading campaigns in this state's 2026 racesAll filers: $31.4M
#24 of 51Median state $26.5M
Delegation trading (12 mo)
$7.8M est.108 trades by this state's members in the last 12 monthsOne member accounts for 93% of this
#12 of 51Median state $1.5M est.
Federal awards
$40.62BFY2025 contracts, grants and other assistance; per resident n/a (no population figure). Direct payments are shown apart, below

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

FEMA major disasters since 2021: 11Unemployment 4.9% (Aug 2026); US 4.1% (Aug 2026)

Source: FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026 and FEC campaign reports (2025-26 receipts), mostly through Jul 15, 2026; Senate and House periodic transaction reports disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; USAspending.gov (FY2025) and Census Bureau population estimates (Vintage 2025), as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Senate

No Senate race in 2026.

House races

10 races, 1 open. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.

Each race shows the candidates on its official November list. Open a row for its campaigns: raised spent cash on hand, on one scale per race, through Jul 15, 2026 unless another date is shown.

Districts: outside money
None reportedUnder $250K$250K to $1M$1M to $5M$5M to $15M$15M or moreBorder: incumbent's party; dashed: openIncumbent traded (12 mo)
District 1Suzan K. DelBeneSuzan K. DelBene DOn the ballotSuzan K. DelBene D $3.6M / $1.1MMary Silva R $8K / $1K$113K39$7.2M est.0

Suzan K. DelBene: On the ballot source. 39 trades in the last 12 months, $7.2M est. Trades and net worth

  • Suzan K. DelBene D Incumbent$3.6M raised · $3.5M spent · $1.1M cashfrom PACs 42% · debts $495K
    Outside money: against $0, for $113K. Top for: Protect Progress $113K, Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Mary Silva R$8K raised · $7K spent · $1K cashthrough Sep 30, 2026 · self-funded 67%
Also filed with the FEC (4), $120K raised; $28K in outside money for or against them
District 2Rick LarsenRick Larsen DOn the ballotRick Larsen D $2.0M / $652KEdwin Harold Feller R n/a / n/a<$1K19$152K est.0

Rick Larsen: On the ballot source. 19 trades in the last 12 months, $152K est. Trades and net worth

  • Rick Larsen D Incumbent$2.0M raised · $1.6M spent · $652K cashfrom PACs 57%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Edwin Harold Feller RRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (3), $13K raised
District 3Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez DOn the ballotMarie Gluesenkamp Perez D $6.3M / $2.1MJohn Braun R $2.2M / $1.3M$3.7M00

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Marie Gluesenkamp Perez D Incumbent$6.3M raised · $4.3M spent · $2.1M cashincludes $2.8M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 14% · debts $9K
    Outside money: against $2.2M, for $19K, includes $2.2M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Welcomepac $19K. Top against: No Going Back PAC Inc. $2.1M, America PAC $47K.
  • John Braun R$2.2M raised · $947K spent · $1.3M cashthrough Aug 18, 2026 · includes $392K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 13% · debts <$1K
    Outside money: against $791K, for $754K, includes $1.4M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: No Going Back PAC Inc. $424K, America PAC $279K. Top against: HMP $681K, Together for Working People $110K.
Also filed with the FEC (7), $315K raised
District 4Open seat outgoing:Dan NewhouseDan Newhouse RNot on the November ballotAmanda McKinney R $982K / $215KJohn Duresky D $179K / $34K$2.1M50$400K est.0

Dan Newhouse: Not on the November ballot source. 50 trades in the last 12 months, $400K est. Trades and net worth

Open seat: the incumbent is not on the ballot (official source)
  • Amanda McKinney R$982K raised · $766K spent · $215K cashfrom PACs 11%
    Outside money: against $0, for $2.1M, includes $21K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: American Mission $779K, Washington Rising Inc. $701K.
  • John Duresky D$179K raised · $145K spent · $34K cashfrom PACs 3% · debts <$1K
Also filed with the FEC (9), $1.6M raised; $206K in outside money for or against them
District 5Michael BaumgartnerMichael Baumgartner ROn the ballotMichael Baumgartner R $1.7M / $954KCarmela Conroy D $396K / $74K$696K00

Michael Baumgartner: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Michael Baumgartner R Incumbent$1.7M raised · $976K spent · $954K cashfrom PACs 21%
    Outside money: against $600K, for $0, includes $393K from 24/48-hour notices. Top against: Fire House PAC $395K, Together for Working People $205K.
  • Carmela Conroy D$396K raised · $335K spent · $74K cashfrom PACs 3% · debts $23K
    Outside money: against $96K, for $0, includes $96K from 24/48-hour notices. Top against: Fire House PAC $96K.
Also filed with the FEC (12), $797K raised; $781K in outside money for or against them
District 6Emily RandallEmily Randall DOn the ballotEmily Randall D $1.2M / $242KTeresa Fox R $28K / $3K<$1K00

Emily Randall: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Emily Randall D Incumbent$1.2M raised · $981K spent · $242K cashfrom PACs 26%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Givegreen United Action <$1K, Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Teresa Fox R$28K raised · $25K spent · $3K cashself-funded 27% · debts $12K
Also filed with the FEC (2), $18K raised
District 7Pramila JayapalPramila Jayapal DOn the ballotPramila Jayapal D $2.5M / $1.8MNirav Sheth R $12K / $5K<$1K00

Pramila Jayapal: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Pramila Jayapal D Incumbent$2.5M raised · $2.7M spent · $1.8M cashfrom PACs 11%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Nirav Sheth R$12K raised · $11K spent · $5K cashthrough Jul 22, 2026 · self-funded 50%
Also filed with the FEC (1), $0 raised
District 8Kim SchrierKim Schrier DOn the ballotKim Schrier D $3.0M / $3.5MSpencer Harrison Meline R $127K / $90K$105K00

Kim Schrier: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Kim Schrier D Incumbent$3.0M raised · $1.3M spent · $3.5M cashfrom PACs 30%
    Outside money: against $0, for $105K. Top for: Protect Progress $105K, Givegreen United Action <$1K.
  • Spencer Harrison Meline R$127K raised · $37K spent · $90K cashself-funded 67% · debts $85K
Also filed with the FEC (3), $217K raised
District 9Adam SmithAdam Smith DOn the ballotAdam Smith D $1.9M / $870KDouglas Michael Basler R $12K / $5K<$1K00

Adam Smith: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Adam Smith D Incumbent$1.9M raised · $1.6M spent · $870K cashfrom PACs 30%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Douglas Michael Basler R$12K raised · $8K spent · $5K cashdebts <$1K
Also filed with the FEC (4), $679K raised; $6K in outside money for or against them
District 10Marilyn StricklandMarilyn Strickland DOn the ballotMarilyn Strickland D $1.5M / $677KChris D. Chung R n/a / n/a$391K00

Marilyn Strickland: On the ballot source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Marilyn Strickland D Incumbent$1.5M raised · $1.4M spent · $677K cashfrom PACs 44% · debts $50K
    Outside money: against $0, for $391K. Top for: Think Big $288K, Protect Progress $103K.
  • Chris D. Chung RRegistered; no financial report on file yet
Also filed with the FEC (2), $7K raised

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (mostly through Jul 15, 2026, each campaign through its latest report); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; House disclosures for incumbents' trades, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

The delegation's own money

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every current member from Washington, including senators not up this year. Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate from the ranges filed.

Estimated volume by member (12 mo)

Suzan K. DelBene D$7.2M est.Dan Newhouse R$400K est.Rick Larsen D$152K est.

No trades in the last 12 months: Adam Smith, Emily Randall, Kim Schrier, Maria Cantwell, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, Marilyn Strickland, Michael Baumgartner, Patty Murray, Pramila Jayapal

Purchases: 52Sales: 56108trades
  • Purchases52
  • Sales56
$7.8M est. across 108 trades

Most traded by this delegation

Suzan K. DelBene
Suzan K. DelBene DWashington · District 12026: On the ballot source
39trades (12 mo)$7.2M est.volume0late (over 45 days)Sep 14, 2026last traded
20 purchases 19 sales
Net worth $128.4M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Dan Newhouse
Dan Newhouse RWashington · District 42026: Not on the November ballot source
50trades (12 mo)$400K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Jul 10, 2026last traded
23 purchases 27 sales
Net worth $15.0M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, Forestry and Horticulture
Rick Larsen
Rick Larsen DWashington · District 22026: On the ballot source
19trades (12 mo)$152K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Jul 8, 2026last traded
9 purchases 10 sales
Net worth $4.4M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure
Adam Smith
Adam Smith DWashington · District 92026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $522K (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, House Committee on Armed Services
Emily Randall
Emily Randall DWashington · District 62026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Kim Schrier
Kim Schrier DWashington · District 82026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $19.8M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Maria Cantwell
Maria Cantwell DWashingtonSeat not up in 2026

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $3.0M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation · Ranking Member, Energy, Natural Resources, and Infrastructure
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez DWashington · District 32026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, debts match or exceed assets, at midpoints. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Marilyn Strickland
Marilyn Strickland DWashington · District 102026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.9M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Michael Baumgartner
Michael Baumgartner RWashington · District 52026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.5M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Patty Murray
Patty Murray DWashingtonSeat not up in 2026

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, newest report not readable yet. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Senate Committee on Appropriations · Ranking Member, Energy and Water Development
Pramila Jayapal
Pramila Jayapal DWashington · District 72026: On the ballot source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, debts match or exceed assets, at midpoints. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Immigration Integrity, Security, and Enforcement
  • Names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some members may be under-counted.

Source: Senate eFD and House Clerk periodic transaction reports, trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; annual financial disclosures for net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Federal money, disasters, jobs

Federal money, fiscal year 2025

Award obligations by place of performance; per resident uses Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates; direct payments apart
$40.62B in contracts, grants and other assistance
Contracts $15.82BGrants $24.64BOther assistance $170.9M

Direct payments: $48.93B. Not in the comparison above: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live.

Loans (face value): $5.96B

FEMA major disasters since 2021

One dot per disaster, by declaration date
20222023202420252026
Flood 3Fire 5Severe Storm 3

Unemployment rate

Seasonally adjusted; the dashed line is the US
4.9% in Aug 2026 (preliminary); up 0.3 points from a year earlier. US 4.1% in Aug 2026. The national rate for Sep 2026 is 4.2%.
3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%
Jan 2025Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026
WashingtonUS

Source: USAspending.gov, FY2025 (fetched Oct 7, 2026); Census Bureau Vintage 2025 estimates; OpenFEMA, through Oct 2, 2026; BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, through Aug 2026; US rate from the Current Population Survey, through Sep 2026, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Notes on Washington

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

FEC bulk files fetched Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; outside spending since Jan 1, 2025, through Oct 8, 2026.

Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026; roster as of Sep 27, 2026.

How we count, sources and notices

Where the money is going

Outside groups have reported $1.92B for or against 2026 candidates (including $1.13B counted from 24/48-hour notices); named spenders' purchases dated in the 4 weeks to Oct 4 come to $848.8M.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

Outside money by week

Named purchases by week, for and against. Spenders that are not named are in the total above but not in this chart.
For a candidateAgainst a candidateDashed line: the week so far. Dotted verticals: reports due Oct 15 and Oct 22, Election Day Nov 3. Shaded: the days left
Traders on the ballot

91 incumbents on the ballot reported trades in the last 12 months; the largest by estimated volume, Rep. Jefferson Shreve (R, IN-6), reported 17 trades worth about $207.0M (est.), 50% of the $413.0M (est.) all of them reported.

We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. Trades in the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate (est.).
Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; campaign receipts mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

All races and states

Every race, every state

Races

Every state, ranked

The 50 states and DC, sorted by any column, with the territories at the foot (not ranked). The same figures the map shows. Pick a row to open that state. Unemployment: the state's rate, and its difference from the US rate for the same month.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; federal awards FY2025; unemployment Aug 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every state, ranked by outside money; select a column header to sort
#
1TexasYes38 (13 open)$350.0Mn/a$168.8M949$73.1M est.36n/a4.4% (+0.3)7
2MichiganYes13 (3 open)$218.9Mn/a$70.3M506$5.3M est.3n/a5.0% (+0.9)4
3OhioSpecial15 (0 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$200.0Mn/a$91.1M237$2.5M est.11n/a3.3% (-0.8)2
4IowaYes4 (2 open)$107.9Mn/a$45.5M0None0n/a3.2% (-0.9)7
5North CarolinaYes14 (1 open)$94.0Mn/a$80.4M77$3.1M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)5
6MaineYes2 (1 open)$82.2Mn/a$20.4M17$301K est.1n/a3.2% (-0.9)8
7KentuckyYes6 (2 open)$75.8Mn/a$27.2M7$81K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)15
8New YorkNo26 (5 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$74.8Mn/a$145.2M20$797K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)9
9CaliforniaNo52 (4 open)$71.1Mn/a$156.7M4,701$169.0M est.72n/a5.1% (+1.0)16
10AlaskaYes1 (0 open)$65.3Mn/a$34.5M2$550K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)18
11IllinoisYes17 (2 open, plus 7 not yet confirmed)$57.5Mn/a$62.6M52$1.5M est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)4
12FloridaSpecial28 (7 open)$53.6Mn/a$90.5M348$9.8M est.3n/a4.5% (+0.4)10
13New HampshireYes2 (1 open)$50.7Mn/a$35.9M0None0n/a2.8% (-1.3)8
14GeorgiaYes14 (4 open)$43.4Mn/a$113.5M127$5.5M est.8n/a3.2% (-0.9)6
15South CarolinaYes7 (2 open)$28.5Mn/a$21.5M76$3.2M est.1n/a4.1% (0.0)5
16AlabamaYes7 (1 open)$28.3Mn/a$16.3M25$561K est.6n/a3.4% (-0.7)5
17MinnesotaYes8 (1 open)$28.2Mn/a$40.7M57$3.3M est.4n/a4.4% (+0.3)6
18PennsylvaniaNo17 (0 open, plus 3 not yet confirmed)$27.2Mn/a$67.1M338$66.5M est.1n/a3.7% (-0.4)2
19LouisianaYes6 (2 open)$27.2Mn/a$47.2M139$4.9M est.17n/a4.2% (+0.1)7
20NebraskaYes3 (1 open)$25.7Mn/a$26.5M1$8K est.0n/a2.9% (-1.2)12
21MontanaYes2 (1 open)$24.7Mn/a$10.7M2$83K est.2n/a3.2% (-0.9)13
22ColoradoYes8 (1 open)$24.2Mn/a$49.3M7$583K est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)4
23New JerseyYes12 (1 open)$19.1Mn/a$51.7M210$8.1M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
24ArizonaNo9 (0 open, plus 5 not yet confirmed)$17.4Mn/a$54.8M2$208K est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)8
25VirginiaYes11 (0 open)$13.9Mn/a$64.8M44$1.7M est.0n/a3.6% (-0.5)6
26MarylandNo8 (1 open)$13.1Mn/a$28.1M360$8.4M est.0n/a4.1% (0.0)1
27KansasYes4 (0 open)$12.8Mn/a$17.7M7$81K est.0n/a3.8% (-0.3)14
28WisconsinNo8 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$12.1Mn/a$29.4M45$9.9M est.0n/a3.2% (-0.9)2
29MassachusettsYes9 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$11.1Mn/a$29.0M46$4.6M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
30MissouriNo8 (1 open)$10.8Mn/a$19.8M19$2.3M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)14
31WyomingYes1 (1 open)$8.4Mn/a$4.1M0None0n/a3.0% (-1.1)2
32WashingtonNo10 (1 open)$8.2Mn/a$27.7M108$7.8M est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)11
33UtahNo4 (1 open)$5.4Mn/a$7.6M25$901K est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)2
34ArkansasYes4 (0 open)$5.0Mn/a$19.7M186$2.0M est.6n/a3.9% (-0.2)7
35MississippiYes4 (0 open)$4.5Mn/a$10.7M10$80K est.3n/a3.4% (-0.7)9
36NevadaNo4 (1 open)$4.2Mn/a$18.8M3$24K est.0n/a4.8% (+0.7)1
37OklahomaYes5 (1 open)$3.9Mn/a$19.4M892$45.5M est.693n/a4.3% (+0.2)11
38TennesseeYes9 (3 open)$3.6Mn/a$29.5M120$8.4M est.1n/a3.4% (-0.7)16
39ConnecticutNo5 (1 open)$2.6Mn/a$8.4M36$2.7M est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)3
40New MexicoYes3 (0 open)$2.4Mn/a$14.1M0None0n/a4.7% (+0.6)6
41South DakotaYes1 (1 open)$1.6Mn/a$5.7M1$3.0M est.1n/a2.0% (-2.1)12
42IndianaNo9 (0 open)$1.3Mn/a$20.5M22$207.1M est.0n/a3.3% (-0.8)3
43West VirginiaYes2 (0 open)$625Kn/a$8.0M40$50.4M est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)11
44OregonYes6 (0 open)$618Kn/a$15.3M1$8K est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)6
45District of ColumbiaNoDelegate$308Kn/a$833K1$33K est.0n/a5.7% (+1.6)0
46HawaiiNo2 (0 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$100Kn/a$3.4M5$40K est.1n/a2.7% (-1.4)6
47DelawareYes1 (0 open)$12Kn/a$9.4M1$175K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)2
48IdahoYes2 (0 open)$6Kn/a$6.1M0None0n/a3.6% (-0.5)4
49Rhode IslandYes2 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$9.7M38$932K est.0n/a3.7% (-0.4)4
49VermontNo1 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$1.0M0None0n/a2.6% (-1.5)9
51North DakotaNo1 (0 open)$0n/a$1.9M0None0n/a2.2% (-1.9)9
Puerto RicoNoNone in 2026No federal raceNo federal raceNo federal race0None0$3,164 (2020 Census)6.1% (+2.0)4
GuamNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$168K0None0$26,794 (2020 Census)n/a2
U.S. Virgin IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$713K0None0$116,856 (2020 Census)n/a1
American SamoaNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$39K0None0$8,658 (2020 Census)n/a1
Northern Mariana IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$81K0None0$1,964 (2020 Census)n/a3
Balance of power

Republicans hold the Senate 53 to 47 and the House 218 to 214.

Seats as held today. Not a forecast. 35 seats on the ballot. Control takes 51 seats, or 50 plus the Vice President's tie-break (R). Democrats and the independents who caucus with them would need a net gain of 4; Republicans can lose 3 and keep control. All 435 seats on the ballot. 218 seats make a majority. 69 seats have no incumbent on the ballot; in 22 more the incumbent is not yet confirmed.
Senate 100 seats, 35 up
House 435 seats, all up, 2 vacant
  • 53 R, 45 D, 2 ISenate seats held
  • 35Senate seats up: 22 R, 13 D
  • 82Open seats: 13 Senate, 69 House; plus 1 delegate race. 22 more not yet confirmed (0 Senate, 22 House)
  • FL, OHSpecial Senate elections
  • 4Appointed senators
  • 5 upDelegates; PR not up

How we count

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win. Every figure comes from a public record: FEC filings, congressional disclosures, USAspending.gov, BLS and FEMA. Trade volumes and net worth are estimates (est.) from the ranges filed.

Read the full method
Campaign money
Total receipts each 2026 House and Senate campaign reported to the FEC for the 2025-26 two-year period: the figure fec.gov shows when the 2026 two-year period is selected (a senator's candidate page opens on the six-year term, which also counts earlier years). Receipts include money transferred from a candidate's other committees, such as a joint fundraising committee or an earlier campaign. State and national totals subtract transfers between committees we already count, so no dollar is counted twice. A candidate with two FEC IDs is counted once. Totals run through each campaign's latest report; most run through June 30, 2026. Third-quarter reports (through September 30) are due October 15 and pre-general reports (through October 14) are due October 22.
Leading campaigns
The Democratic and the Republican campaign with the most receipts (the incumbent's, where the incumbent is on the ballot), plus any other campaign with at least 15% of the race leader's receipts. Where we cite an official list of the November ballot (most Senate races, and California's and Washington's House races, where two candidates of one party can meet), the candidates on it. Where a rival of the incumbent's own party raised more than the incumbent and no official source we cite settles the primary, both are listed. Other races can include candidates who lost a primary.
Outside money
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC for or against 2026 House and Senate candidates since January 1, 2025, from KeyVex's copy of FEC Schedule E: every line a filer reports, including purchases under $1,000 (amounts under $1,000 are shown as <$1K). A purchase reported on a 24- or 48-hour notice and again on a regular report is counted once, from the notice until KeyVex's copy has the regular report. Notices can be revised, and totals that include them can run ahead of FEC's own figures. Spenders that may be individuals are not named; their totals appear as one unnamed line and are left out of the weekly chart and the list of recent spending. Purchases for an earlier election, such as a 2025 special election, and purchases dated after Election Day are left out. Coordinated party spending is not included.
Trades
Periodic transaction reports filed with the Senate and the House (stocks, funds, bonds, notes and other securities), by trade date, for the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026. Dollar figures are midpoints of the ranges filed, so every volume is an estimate (est.). A Senate trade restated by an amendment, and a House trade on a re-filed report we have identified, is counted once; House amendments carry no marker, so a House trade filed again on a later report can be counted twice. Trades our identity check could not tie to the member are left out, and names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some totals are low.
Disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
Counted from the first report that listed the trade. The law sets 45 days after the transaction as the outer limit for reporting; this compares two dates printed on the filings and is not a finding that any law was broken. Dates more than two years apart are treated as a likely typo, listed as dates to verify and not counted.
Net worth (est.)
KeyVex's estimate from the member's latest annual financial disclosure: the midpoint of the listed asset ranges less the midpoint of the listed debts. The form does not list a member's home. Where the ranges cannot support a figure above zero we say why instead of showing a number.
Seats and status
Members from the congress-legislators roster, compiled from official sources, as of Sep 27, 2026. We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. A seat is listed as open when an official source we cite says the incumbent is not on the ballot, when the FEC lists the race as an open seat and the incumbent has no 2026 campaign of their own, when no incumbent filed for the district under its 2026 lines, or when the seat is vacant. Otherwise the incumbent is not confirmed, and we say what the FEC shows: a 2026 campaign on file, or none. Candidates on the November ballot are listed only with a link to an official election office's candidate list, ballot or results; "Nominee" marks a party's nominee, and candidates on Alaska's top-four ballot, California's and Washington's top-two ballots, or on the ballot by petition are marked "On the ballot".
Federal money
Fiscal year 2025 federal award obligations by place of performance, from USAspending.gov. The map and the table rank contracts, grants and other assistance per resident, using Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates (2020 Census counts for Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands). Direct payments are shown apart in each state's report and left out of the ranking: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live. Loans are shown separately at face value.
Disasters
Major disaster declarations (FEMA declaration type DR) since 2021, counted once per disaster.
Unemployment
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, seasonally adjusted, latest month (preliminary). National rate from the Current Population Survey.
District lines
Nine states use new district lines in 2026: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah. Missouri's new map is not in effect. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.
Louisiana
Each Louisiana House race is an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority: every candidate on that ballot is marked "On the ballot".

Sources

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026. Roster as of Sep 27, 2026. Government statistics fetched Oct 7, 2026; FEMA declarations through Oct 2, 2026. Nothing here is a forecast or a recommendation.

Notices

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
  • State boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files via us-atlas (ISC license, copyright Michael Bostock).