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KeyVex › 2026 Midterms › Pennsylvania

Follow the money into the midterms

26days to Election DayTuesday, Nov 3
Updated Oct 8, 10:20 PM ET
Data as of

Every federal race on the ballot, the money behind it, and what the incumbents do with their own money: campaign cash, outside spending, stock trades, estimated net worth and the federal dollars flowing into each state. Public records, refreshed twice a day.

  • Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026
  • Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026
  • Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026
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Who holds the seats up in 2026

View as table
Senate 45 D 2 I 53 R51 for a majority; 35 up, 13 open35 seats on the ballot. Control takes 51 seats, or 50 plus the Vice President's tie-break (R). Democrats and the independents who caucus with them would need a net gain of 4; Republicans can lose 3 and keep control.House 214 D 1 I 218 R 2 vacant218 for a majority; all up, 69 open, plus 22 not yet confirmedAll 435 seats on the ballot. 218 seats make a majority. 69 seats have no incumbent on the ballot; in 22 more the incumbent is not yet confirmed.
NHVTMARICTNJMDDEDCPRGUVIASMP
Senate raceSpecial election

Who holds the seat today. Not a forecast.

Source: Senate and House rosters, as of Sep 27, 2026

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

State report

Pennsylvania

On the ballot Nov 3U.S. House (17 seats)Governor
Campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026, each campaign through its latest report; outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

At a glance

Outside money
$27.2M$15.3M for, $11.8M against, including $41K from filers not namedincludes $15.5M from 24/48-hour notices
#18 of 51Median state $13.1M
Campaign money (leading campaigns)
$67.1M2025-26 receipts of the leading campaigns in this state's 2026 racesAll filers: $71.1M
#9 of 51Median state $26.5M
Delegation trading (12 mo)
$66.5M est.338 trades by this state's members in the last 12 months; 1 disclosed more than 45 days after the tradeOne member accounts for 95% of this
#4 of 51Median state $1.5M est.
Federal awards
$75.33BFY2025 contracts, grants and other assistance; per resident n/a (no population figure). Direct payments are shown apart, below

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

FEMA major disasters since 2021: 2Unemployment 3.7% (Aug 2026); US 4.1% (Aug 2026)

Source: FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026 and FEC campaign reports (2025-26 receipts), mostly through Jun 30, 2026; Senate and House periodic transaction reports disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; USAspending.gov (FY2025) and Census Bureau population estimates (Vintage 2025), as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Senate

No Senate race in 2026.

House races

17 races, 0 open, plus 3 not yet confirmed. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.

A race with an official list shows its candidates; a race marked "No official list yet" shows campaigns on file with the FEC, which can include candidates who lost primaries. Open a row for its campaigns: raised spent cash on hand, on one scale per race, through Jun 30, 2026 unless another date is shown.

Districts: outside money
None reportedUnder $250K$250K to $1M$1M to $5M$5M to $15M$15M or moreBorder: incumbent's party; dashed: openIncumbent traded (12 mo)
District 1Brian K. FitzpatrickBrian K. Fitzpatrick RNomineeBrian K. Fitzpatrick R $6.7M / $6.4MRobert J Harvie D $2.0M / $795K$2.4M00

Brian K. Fitzpatrick: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Brian K. Fitzpatrick R Incumbent$6.7M raised · $4.8M spent · $6.4M cashincludes $2.6M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 33% · debts $25K
    Outside money: against $1.0M, for $503K, includes $1.5M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Edf Action Votes $191K, America First Agriculture Action Inc. $163K. Top against: Your Community PAC $499K, HMP $480K. Against: 1 filer not named: $4K.
  • Robert J Harvie D$2.0M raised · $1.2M spent · $795K cashfrom PACs 9%
    Outside money: against $838K, for $58K, includes $861K from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Progressive Turnout Project $34K, Seniors Empowering an Effective Democracy (Seed-Pac) $17K. Top against: Defending America PAC, Inc. $709K, Strategic Majority PAC $124K. For: 1 filer not named: $6K.
Also filed with the FEC (9), $170K raised
Race on fec.gov
District 2 No official list yetBrendan F. BoyleBrendan F. Boyle DNot confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)Brendan F. Boyle D $2.5M / $5.6MNone00

No official candidate list read yet: these are campaigns on file with the FEC, which can include candidates who lost primaries.

Brendan F. Boyle: Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Brendan F. Boyle D Incumbent$2.5M raised · $730K spent · $5.6M cashfrom PACs 40%
Also filed with the FEC (2), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 3 No official list yetDwight EvansDwight Evans DNot confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)Christopher M. Rabb D $1.3M / $21KSharif Street D $1.1M / $89KAla Stanford D $805K / $65KDavid Oxman D $512K / $57K$6.0M16$169K est.1

No official candidate list read yet: these are campaigns on file with the FEC, which can include candidates who lost primaries.

Dwight Evans: Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet). 16 trades in the last 12 months, $169K est., 1 disclosed more than 45 days after the trade. Trades and net worth

  • Christopher M. Rabb D$1.3M raised · $1.3M spent · $21K cashfrom PACs 7% · debts $42K
    Outside money: against $6K, for $1.7M. Top for: Working Families Party PAC $457K, American Priorities (Ap) $455K. Top against: Charter Schools Action PAC $6K. For: 1 filer not named: $15K.
  • Sharif Street D$1.1M raised · $1.1M spent · $89K cashfrom PACs 13% · debts $139K
    Outside money: against $70K, for $667K. Top for: Philly First Super PAC $637K, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 98 Committee on Political Education $19K. Top against: Working Families Party PAC $70K.
  • Dwight Evans D Incumbent$234K raised · $302K spent · $8K cashfrom PACs 46%
Also filed with the FEC (4), $1.6M raised; $3.5M in outside money for or against them
Race on fec.gov
District 4Madeleine DeanMadeleine Dean DNomineeMadeleine Dean D $1.4M / $1.2MAurora Stuski R $9K / $4K<$1K00

Madeleine Dean: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Madeleine Dean D Incumbent$1.4M raised · $1.2M spent · $1.2M cashfrom PACs 53%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Aurora Stuski R$9K raised · $7K spent · $4K cashthrough Sep 30, 2026
Also filed with the FEC (4), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 5Mary Gay ScanlonMary Gay Scanlon DNomineeMary Gay Scanlon D $991K / $449KNicholas Waln Morris Manganaro R $9K / $6K<$1K00

Mary Gay Scanlon: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Mary Gay Scanlon D Incumbent$991K raised · $860K spent · $449K cashfrom PACs 45%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Nicholas Waln Morris Manganaro R$9K raised · $3K spent · $6K cashself-funded 58% · debts $5K
Also filed with the FEC (3), $4K raised
Race on fec.gov
District 6Chrissy HoulahanChrissy Houlahan DNomineeChrissy Houlahan D $1.8M / $4.0MMartin Young R $411K / $213K<$1K00

Chrissy Houlahan: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Chrissy Houlahan D Incumbent$1.8M raised · $1.1M spent · $4.0M cashfrom PACs 30%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Martin Young R$411K raised · $198K spent · $213K cashdebts $25K
Also filed with the FEC (2), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 7Ryan MackenzieRyan Mackenzie RNomineeRyan Mackenzie R $4.4M / $2.9MBob Brooks D $2.4M / $1.0M$5.7M00

Ryan Mackenzie: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Ryan Mackenzie R Incumbent$4.4M raised · $1.5M spent · $2.9M cashincludes $1.8M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 24% · debts $23K
    Outside money: against $1.0M, for $421K, includes $1.4M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: America First Agriculture Action Inc. $239K, America PAC $138K. Top against: HMP $653K, Retired Americans Action $205K. Against: 1 filer not named: $3K.
  • Bob Brooks D$2.4M raised · $1.4M spent · $1.0M cashfrom PACs 17% · debts $15K
    Outside money: against $1.1M, for $3.2M, includes $1.3M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Stronger Together Pa $1.8M, Jobs and Democracy PAC $263K. Top against: Lead Left PAC $312K, No Going Back PAC Inc. $267K. For: 1 filer not named: $10K.
Also filed with the FEC (8), $3.2M raised; $1.6M in outside money for or against them
Race on fec.gov
District 8Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. RNomineeRobert P. Bresnahan, Jr. R $5.2M / $2.6MPaige Cognetti D $4.6M / $3.4M$5.1M17$795K est.0

Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.: Nominee source. 17 trades in the last 12 months, $795K est. Trades and net worth

  • Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. R Incumbent$5.2M raised · $2.7M spent · $2.6M cashincludes $1.9M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 26% · debts $777K
    Outside money: against $3.3M, for $645K, includes $3.3M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: America First Agriculture Action Inc. $360K, America PAC $178K. Top against: HMP $1.3M, Giffords PAC $887K.
  • Paige Cognetti D$4.6M raised · $1.2M spent · $3.4M cashfrom PACs 9%
    Outside money: against $476K, for $728K, includes $1.1M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Cffe PAC $425K, Welcomepac $117K. Top against: America PAC $248K, No Going Back PAC Inc. $142K.
Also filed with the FEC (2), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 9Daniel MeuserDaniel Meuser RNomineeDaniel Meuser R $1.9M / $171KRachel Wallace D $698K / $387K<$1K7$81K est.0

Daniel Meuser: Nominee source. 7 trades in the last 12 months, $81K est. Trades and net worth

  • Daniel Meuser R Incumbent$1.9M raised · $1.8M spent · $171K cashfrom PACs 42% · debts $250K
    Outside money: against <$1K, for $0. Top against: Rural Freedom Network <$1K.
  • Rachel Wallace D$698K raised · $311K spent · $387K cashfrom PACs 6%
Also filed with the FEC (4), $11K raised
Race on fec.gov
District 10Scott PerryScott Perry RNomineeJanelle Stelson D $6.4M / $4.5MScott Perry R $5.2M / $2.8M$6.3M00

Scott Perry: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Janelle Stelson D$6.4M raised · $1.9M spent · $4.5M cashincludes $937K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 8%
    Outside money: against $1.4M, for $795K, includes $2.1M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Cffe PAC $425K, Casa in Action PAC $131K. Top against: No Going Back PAC Inc. $756K, Club for Growth Action $325K.
  • Scott Perry R Incumbent$5.2M raised · $2.4M spent · $2.8M cashincludes $1.4M transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 13% · debts $335K
    Outside money: against $2.2M, for $1.9M, includes $3.9M from 24/48-hour notices. Top for: Freedom Caucus Fund $683K, Protect Freedom Political Action Committee $459K. Top against: HMP $766K, Edf Action Votes $732K.
Also filed with the FEC (8), $238K raised; $37K in outside money for or against them
Race on fec.gov
District 11Lloyd SmuckerLloyd Smucker RNomineeLloyd Smucker R $1.5M / $811KNancy Mannion D $214K / $47KNone8$490K est.0

Lloyd Smucker: Nominee source. 8 trades in the last 12 months, $490K est. Trades and net worth

  • Lloyd Smucker R Incumbent$1.5M raised · $1.6M spent · $811K cashincludes $456K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 53%
  • Nancy Mannion D$214K raised · $167K spent · $47K cashfrom PACs 3%
Also filed with the FEC (2), $5K raised
Race on fec.gov
District 12 No official list yetSummer L. LeeSummer L. Lee DNot confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)Summer L. Lee D $1.5M / $1.6MJames Hayes R $40K / $10K$26K00

No official candidate list read yet: these are campaigns on file with the FEC, which can include candidates who lost primaries.

Summer L. Lee: Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet). No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Summer L. Lee D Incumbent$1.5M raised · $829K spent · $1.6M cashfrom PACs 14%
    Outside money: against $0, for $21K. Top for: Working Families Party PAC $17K, Rural Freedom Network <$1K. For: 1 filer not named: $4K.
  • James Hayes R$40K raised · $31K spent · $10K cashfrom PACs 12% · debts $12K
Also filed with the FEC (3), $65K raised; $5K in outside money for or against them
Race on fec.gov
District 13John JoyceJohn Joyce RNomineeJohn Joyce R $2.4M / $3.8MElizabeth Rhoads Farnham D $55K / $16KNone00

John Joyce: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • John Joyce R Incumbent$2.4M raised · $1.3M spent · $3.8M cashincludes $439K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 58%
  • Elizabeth Rhoads Farnham D$55K raised · $40K spent · $16K cashfrom PACs 4%
Race on fec.gov
District 14Guy ReschenthalerGuy Reschenthaler RNomineeGuy Reschenthaler R $4.2M / $991KDavid Alan Bradstock D $201K / $35K<$1K00

Guy Reschenthaler: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Guy Reschenthaler R Incumbent$4.2M raised · $3.8M spent · $991K cashincludes $564K transferred from the candidate's other committees · from PACs 28%
    Outside money: against <$1K, for $0. Top against: Rural Freedom Network <$1K.
  • David Alan Bradstock D$201K raised · $167K spent · $35K cashfrom PACs 9%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Rural Freedom Network <$1K.
Also filed with the FEC (2), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 15Glenn ThompsonGlenn Thompson RNomineeGlenn Thompson R $1.9M / $830KRaymond Allen Bilger D $140K / $87K$2K00

Glenn Thompson: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Glenn Thompson R Incumbent$1.9M raised · $1.8M spent · $830K cashfrom PACs 56%
    Outside money: against $2K, for $0. Top against: MAHA PAC $2K.
  • Raymond Allen Bilger D$140K raised · $52K spent · $87K cashfrom PACs 1%
Also filed with the FEC (1), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 16Mike KellyMike Kelly RNomineeMike Kelly R $1.2M / $1.3MJustin Wagner D $67K / $38KNone25$1.3M est.0

Mike Kelly: Nominee source. 25 trades in the last 12 months, $1.3M est. Trades and net worth

  • Mike Kelly R Incumbent$1.2M raised · $882K spent · $1.3M cashfrom PACs 75% · debts $90K
  • Justin Wagner D$67K raised · $34K spent · $38K cash
Also filed with the FEC (1), $0 raised
Race on fec.gov
District 17Christopher R. DeluzioChristopher R. Deluzio DNomineeChristopher R. Deluzio D $2.8M / $1.1MTony Guy R $118K / $36K<$1K00

Christopher R. Deluzio: Nominee source. No trades in the last 12 months. Trades and net worth

  • Christopher R. Deluzio D Incumbent$2.8M raised · $2.1M spent · $1.1M cashfrom PACs 18%
    Outside money: against $0, for <$1K. Top for: Givegreen United Action <$1K, Sierra Club Independent Action <$1K.
  • Tony Guy R$118K raised · $82K spent · $36K cashfrom PACs 4% · debts $15K
Also filed with the FEC (2), $22K raised
Race on fec.gov

Source: FEC campaign reports, 2025-26 receipts (mostly through Jun 30, 2026, each campaign through its latest report); FEC Schedule E through Oct 8, 2026; House disclosures for incumbents' trades, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

The delegation's own money

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every current member from Pennsylvania, including senators not up this year. Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate from the ranges filed.

Estimated volume by member (12 mo)

David McCormick R$63.5M est.Mike Kelly R$1.3M est.Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. R$795K est.Lloyd Smucker R$490K est.John Fetterman D$216K est.Dwight Evans D$169K est.Daniel Meuser R$81K est.

No trades in the last 12 months: Brendan F. Boyle, Brian K. Fitzpatrick, Chrissy Houlahan, Christopher R. Deluzio, Glenn Thompson, Guy Reschenthaler, John Joyce, Madeleine Dean, Mary Gay Scanlon, Ryan Mackenzie, Scott Perry, Summer L. Lee

Purchases: 175Sales: 163338trades
  • Purchases175
  • Sales163
$66.5M est. across 338 trades; 1 disclosed more than 45 days after the trade

Most traded by this delegation

NVDA7BITB4FULT3MSFT3CVS2ERIE2INTC2MU2ABT1AMT1
David McCormick
David McCormick RPennsylvaniaSeat not up in 2026
238trades (12 mo)$63.5M est.volume0late (over 45 days)Aug 19, 2026last traded
135 purchases 103 sales
BITB4GS1
Net worth $178.1M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Energy · Chairman, Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism
Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly RPennsylvania · District 162026: Nominee source
25trades (12 mo)$1.3M est.volume0late (over 45 days)Aug 28, 2026last traded
9 purchases 16 sales
ABT1BMY1CMCSA1
Net worth $14.8M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, Tax
Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr.
Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr. RPennsylvania · District 82026: Nominee source
17trades (12 mo)$795K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Jul 1, 2026last traded
14 purchases 3 sales
BRK.B1K1
Net worth (est.): no figure, newest report not readable yet. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Lloyd Smucker
Lloyd Smucker RPennsylvania · District 112026: Nominee source
8trades (12 mo)$490K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Apr 23, 2026last traded
0 purchases 8 sales
FULT3ENBP1PRU1
Net worth $1.3M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
John Fetterman
John Fetterman DPennsylvaniaSeat not up in 2026
27trades (12 mo)$216K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Sep 16, 2026last traded
15 purchases 12 sales
ERIE2MSFT2AMZN1
Net worth $1.4M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Border Management, Federal Workforce, and Regulatory Affairs
Dwight Evans
Dwight Evans DPennsylvania · District 3Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)
16trades (12 mo)$169K est.volume1late (over 45 days)Jun 10, 2026last traded
1 purchase 15 sales
CVS2INTC2AMT1
Net worth $1.1M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
1 trade disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
  • CVS $1,001 - $15,000Traded Nov 21, 2025, first disclosed May 15, 2026, 175 days · filing
Daniel Meuser
Daniel Meuser RPennsylvania · District 92026: Nominee source
7trades (12 mo)$81K est.volume0late (over 45 days)Jun 15, 2026last traded
1 purchase 6 sales
NVDA6SPCX1
Net worth $63.9M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Oversight and Investigations
Brendan F. Boyle
Brendan F. Boyle DPennsylvania · District 2Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.1M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, House Committee on the Budget
Brian K. Fitzpatrick
Brian K. Fitzpatrick RPennsylvania · District 12026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $2.5M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Central Intelligence Agency
Chrissy Houlahan
Chrissy Houlahan DPennsylvania · District 62026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.8M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, Military Personnel · Ranking Member, Open Source Intelligence
Glenn Thompson
Glenn Thompson RPennsylvania · District 152026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, debts match or exceed assets, at midpoints. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, House Committee on Agriculture
Guy Reschenthaler
Guy Reschenthaler RPennsylvania · District 142026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, listed debts exceed listed assets. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
John Joyce
John Joyce RPennsylvania · District 132026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $14.4M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chair, Oversight and Investigations
Madeleine Dean
Madeleine Dean DPennsylvania · District 42026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.3M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Mary Gay Scanlon
Mary Gay Scanlon DPennsylvania · District 52026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $10.1M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Ranking Member, The Constitution and Limited Government · Ranking Member, Rules and Organization of the House
Ryan Mackenzie
Ryan Mackenzie RPennsylvania · District 72026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.0M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Workforce Protections
Scott Perry
Scott Perry RPennsylvania · District 102026: Nominee source

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth $1.5M (est.), from the 2025 annual report · filing
Chairman, Economic Development, Public Buildings, and Emergency Management
Summer L. Lee
Summer L. Lee DPennsylvania · District 12Not confirmed (2026 campaign on file; no official list names them yet)

No trades in the last 12 months

Net worth (est.): no figure, no asset with a stated value. Latest: the 2025 annual report · filing
  • Names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some members may be under-counted.

Source: Senate eFD and House Clerk periodic transaction reports, trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; annual financial disclosures for net worth, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

Federal money, disasters, jobs

Federal money, fiscal year 2025

Award obligations by place of performance; per resident uses Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates; direct payments apart
$75.33B in contracts, grants and other assistance
Contracts $26.94BGrants $48.21BOther assistance $181.7M

Direct payments: $206.48B. Not in the comparison above: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live.

Loans (face value): $16.27B

FEMA major disasters since 2021

One dot per disaster, by declaration date
20222023202420252026
Hurricane or tropical storm 2

Unemployment rate

Seasonally adjusted; the dashed line is the US
3.7% in Aug 2026 (preliminary); down 0.7 points from a year earlier. US 4.1% in Aug 2026. The national rate for Sep 2026 is 4.2%.
3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%
Jan 2025Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026
PennsylvaniaUS

Source: USAspending.gov, FY2025 (fetched Oct 7, 2026); Census Bureau Vintage 2025 estimates; OpenFEMA, through Oct 2, 2026; BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, through Aug 2026; US rate from the Current Population Survey, through Sep 2026, as of Oct 8, 2026. How we count

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Notes on Pennsylvania

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win.

FEC bulk files fetched Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; outside spending since Jan 1, 2025, through Oct 8, 2026.

Trades dated Oct 8, 2025 to Oct 8, 2026, disclosed through Oct 7, 2026.

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026; roster as of Sep 27, 2026.

How we count, sources and notices

Where the money is going

Outside groups have reported $1.92B for or against 2026 candidates (including $1.13B counted from 24/48-hour notices); named spenders' purchases dated in the 4 weeks to Oct 4 come to $848.8M.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

Outside money by week

Named purchases by week, for and against. Spenders that are not named are in the total above but not in this chart.
For a candidateAgainst a candidateDashed line: the week so far. Dotted verticals: reports due Oct 15 and Oct 22, Election Day Nov 3. Shaded: the days left
Traders on the ballot

91 incumbents on the ballot reported trades in the last 12 months; the largest by estimated volume, Rep. Jefferson Shreve (R, IN-6), reported 17 trades worth about $207.0M (est.), 50% of the $413.0M (est.) all of them reported.

We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. Trades in the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026; every volume is an estimate (est.).
Trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; campaign receipts mostly through Jun 30, 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

All races and states

Every race, every state

Races

Every state, ranked

The 50 states and DC, sorted by any column, with the territories at the foot (not ranked). The same figures the map shows. Pick a row to open that state. Unemployment: the state's rate, and its difference from the US rate for the same month.
Outside spending through Oct 8, 2026; campaign totals mostly through Jun 30, 2026; trades disclosed through Oct 7, 2026; federal awards FY2025; unemployment Aug 2026.

House reports filed as scanned images since Jun 4, 2026 are not yet included, so some House members' trade counts are low.

Every state, ranked by outside money; select a column header to sort
#
1TexasYes38 (13 open)$350.0Mn/a$168.8M949$73.1M est.36n/a4.4% (+0.3)7
2MichiganYes13 (3 open)$218.9Mn/a$70.3M506$5.3M est.3n/a5.0% (+0.9)4
3OhioSpecial15 (0 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$200.0Mn/a$91.1M237$2.5M est.11n/a3.3% (-0.8)2
4IowaYes4 (2 open)$107.9Mn/a$45.5M0None0n/a3.2% (-0.9)7
5North CarolinaYes14 (1 open)$94.0Mn/a$80.4M77$3.1M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)5
6MaineYes2 (1 open)$82.2Mn/a$20.4M17$301K est.1n/a3.2% (-0.9)8
7KentuckyYes6 (2 open)$75.8Mn/a$27.2M7$81K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)15
8New YorkNo26 (5 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$74.8Mn/a$145.2M20$797K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)9
9CaliforniaNo52 (4 open)$71.1Mn/a$156.7M4,701$169.0M est.72n/a5.1% (+1.0)16
10AlaskaYes1 (0 open)$65.3Mn/a$34.5M2$550K est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)18
11IllinoisYes17 (2 open, plus 7 not yet confirmed)$57.5Mn/a$62.6M52$1.5M est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)4
12FloridaSpecial28 (7 open)$53.6Mn/a$90.5M348$9.8M est.3n/a4.5% (+0.4)10
13New HampshireYes2 (1 open)$50.7Mn/a$35.9M0None0n/a2.8% (-1.3)8
14GeorgiaYes14 (4 open)$43.4Mn/a$113.5M127$5.5M est.8n/a3.2% (-0.9)6
15South CarolinaYes7 (2 open)$28.5Mn/a$21.5M76$3.2M est.1n/a4.1% (0.0)5
16AlabamaYes7 (1 open)$28.3Mn/a$16.3M25$561K est.6n/a3.4% (-0.7)5
17MinnesotaYes8 (1 open)$28.2Mn/a$40.7M57$3.3M est.4n/a4.4% (+0.3)6
18PennsylvaniaNo17 (0 open, plus 3 not yet confirmed)$27.2Mn/a$67.1M338$66.5M est.1n/a3.7% (-0.4)2
19LouisianaYes6 (2 open)$27.2Mn/a$47.2M139$4.9M est.17n/a4.2% (+0.1)7
20NebraskaYes3 (1 open)$25.7Mn/a$26.5M1$8K est.0n/a2.9% (-1.2)12
21MontanaYes2 (1 open)$24.7Mn/a$10.7M2$83K est.2n/a3.2% (-0.9)13
22ColoradoYes8 (1 open)$24.2Mn/a$49.3M7$583K est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)4
23New JerseyYes12 (1 open)$19.1Mn/a$51.7M210$8.1M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
24ArizonaNo9 (0 open, plus 5 not yet confirmed)$17.4Mn/a$54.8M2$208K est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)8
25VirginiaYes11 (0 open)$13.9Mn/a$64.8M44$1.7M est.0n/a3.6% (-0.5)6
26MarylandNo8 (1 open)$13.1Mn/a$28.1M360$8.4M est.0n/a4.1% (0.0)1
27KansasYes4 (0 open)$12.8Mn/a$17.7M7$81K est.0n/a3.8% (-0.3)14
28WisconsinNo8 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$12.1Mn/a$29.4M45$9.9M est.0n/a3.2% (-0.9)2
29MassachusettsYes9 (1 open, plus 1 not yet confirmed)$11.1Mn/a$29.0M46$4.6M est.0n/a4.3% (+0.2)3
30MissouriNo8 (1 open)$10.8Mn/a$19.8M19$2.3M est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)14
31WyomingYes1 (1 open)$8.4Mn/a$4.1M0None0n/a3.0% (-1.1)2
32WashingtonNo10 (1 open)$8.2Mn/a$27.7M108$7.8M est.0n/a4.9% (+0.8)11
33UtahNo4 (1 open)$5.4Mn/a$7.6M25$901K est.0n/a3.5% (-0.6)2
34ArkansasYes4 (0 open)$5.0Mn/a$19.7M186$2.0M est.6n/a3.9% (-0.2)7
35MississippiYes4 (0 open)$4.5Mn/a$10.7M10$80K est.3n/a3.4% (-0.7)9
36NevadaNo4 (1 open)$4.2Mn/a$18.8M3$24K est.0n/a4.8% (+0.7)1
37OklahomaYes5 (1 open)$3.9Mn/a$19.4M892$45.5M est.693n/a4.3% (+0.2)11
38TennesseeYes9 (3 open)$3.6Mn/a$29.5M120$8.4M est.1n/a3.4% (-0.7)16
39ConnecticutNo5 (1 open)$2.6Mn/a$8.4M36$2.7M est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)3
40New MexicoYes3 (0 open)$2.4Mn/a$14.1M0None0n/a4.7% (+0.6)6
41South DakotaYes1 (1 open)$1.6Mn/a$5.7M1$3.0M est.1n/a2.0% (-2.1)12
42IndianaNo9 (0 open)$1.3Mn/a$20.5M22$207.1M est.0n/a3.3% (-0.8)3
43West VirginiaYes2 (0 open)$625Kn/a$8.0M40$50.4M est.0n/a4.0% (-0.1)11
44OregonYes6 (0 open)$618Kn/a$15.3M1$8K est.0n/a5.1% (+1.0)6
45District of ColumbiaNoDelegate$308Kn/a$833K1$33K est.0n/a5.7% (+1.6)0
46HawaiiNo2 (0 open, plus 2 not yet confirmed)$100Kn/a$3.4M5$40K est.1n/a2.7% (-1.4)6
47DelawareYes1 (0 open)$12Kn/a$9.4M1$175K est.0n/a4.7% (+0.6)2
48IdahoYes2 (0 open)$6Kn/a$6.1M0None0n/a3.6% (-0.5)4
49Rhode IslandYes2 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$9.7M38$932K est.0n/a3.7% (-0.4)4
49VermontNo1 (0 open)<$1Kn/a$1.0M0None0n/a2.6% (-1.5)9
51North DakotaNo1 (0 open)$0n/a$1.9M0None0n/a2.2% (-1.9)9
Puerto RicoNoNone in 2026No federal raceNo federal raceNo federal race0None0$3,164 (2020 Census)6.1% (+2.0)4
GuamNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$168K0None0$26,794 (2020 Census)n/a2
U.S. Virgin IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$713K0None0$116,856 (2020 Census)n/a1
American SamoaNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$39K0None0$8,658 (2020 Census)n/a1
Northern Mariana IslandsNoDelegate$0$0.00 (2020 Census)$81K0None0$1,964 (2020 Census)n/a3
Balance of power

Republicans hold the Senate 53 to 47 and the House 218 to 214.

Seats as held today. Not a forecast. 35 seats on the ballot. Control takes 51 seats, or 50 plus the Vice President's tie-break (R). Democrats and the independents who caucus with them would need a net gain of 4; Republicans can lose 3 and keep control. All 435 seats on the ballot. 218 seats make a majority. 69 seats have no incumbent on the ballot; in 22 more the incumbent is not yet confirmed.
Senate 100 seats, 35 up
House 435 seats, all up, 2 vacant
  • 53 R, 45 D, 2 ISenate seats held
  • 35Senate seats up: 22 R, 13 D
  • 82Open seats: 13 Senate, 69 House; plus 1 delegate race. 22 more not yet confirmed (0 Senate, 22 House)
  • FL, OHSpecial Senate elections
  • 4Appointed senators
  • 5 upDelegates; PR not up

How we count

KeyVex does not rate races, publish odds or call results. Colors show money, trades or who holds a seat today, never who will win. Every figure comes from a public record: FEC filings, congressional disclosures, USAspending.gov, BLS and FEMA. Trade volumes and net worth are estimates (est.) from the ranges filed.

Read the full method
Campaign money
Total receipts each 2026 House and Senate campaign reported to the FEC for the 2025-26 two-year period: the figure fec.gov shows when the 2026 two-year period is selected (a senator's candidate page opens on the six-year term, which also counts earlier years). Receipts include money transferred from a candidate's other committees, such as a joint fundraising committee or an earlier campaign. State and national totals subtract transfers between committees we already count, so no dollar is counted twice. A candidate with two FEC IDs is counted once. Totals run through each campaign's latest report; most run through June 30, 2026. Third-quarter reports (through September 30) are due October 15 and pre-general reports (through October 14) are due October 22.
Leading campaigns
The Democratic and the Republican campaign with the most receipts (the incumbent's, where the incumbent is on the ballot), plus any other campaign with at least 15% of the race leader's receipts. Where we cite an official list of the November ballot (most Senate races, and California's and Washington's House races, where two candidates of one party can meet), the candidates on it. Where a rival of the incumbent's own party raised more than the incumbent and no official source we cite settles the primary, both are listed. Other races can include candidates who lost a primary.
Outside money
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC for or against 2026 House and Senate candidates since January 1, 2025, from KeyVex's copy of FEC Schedule E: every line a filer reports, including purchases under $1,000 (amounts under $1,000 are shown as <$1K). A purchase reported on a 24- or 48-hour notice and again on a regular report is counted once, from the notice until KeyVex's copy has the regular report. Notices can be revised, and totals that include them can run ahead of FEC's own figures. Spenders that may be individuals are not named; their totals appear as one unnamed line and are left out of the weekly chart and the list of recent spending. Purchases for an earlier election, such as a 2025 special election, and purchases dated after Election Day are left out. Coordinated party spending is not included.
Trades
Periodic transaction reports filed with the Senate and the House (stocks, funds, bonds, notes and other securities), by trade date, for the 12 months to Oct 8, 2026. Dollar figures are midpoints of the ranges filed, so every volume is an estimate (est.). A Senate trade restated by an amendment, and a House trade on a re-filed report we have identified, is counted once; House amendments carry no marker, so a House trade filed again on a later report can be counted twice. Trades our identity check could not tie to the member are left out, and names with apostrophes are not yet matched, so some totals are low.
Disclosed more than 45 days after the trade
Counted from the first report that listed the trade. The law sets 45 days after the transaction as the outer limit for reporting; this compares two dates printed on the filings and is not a finding that any law was broken. Dates more than two years apart are treated as a likely typo, listed as dates to verify and not counted.
Net worth (est.)
KeyVex's estimate from the member's latest annual financial disclosure: the midpoint of the listed asset ranges less the midpoint of the listed debts. The form does not list a member's home. Where the ranges cannot support a figure above zero we say why instead of showing a number.
Seats and status
Members from the congress-legislators roster, compiled from official sources, as of Sep 27, 2026. We count an incumbent as on the November ballot only when an official list or result we cite names them, for their seat or as a Senate nominee. Until a list we have read names them or shows them out, an incumbent is not confirmed: counted neither as on the ballot nor as an open seat, even with a 2026 campaign on file. A seat is listed as open when an official source we cite says the incumbent is not on the ballot, when the FEC lists the race as an open seat and the incumbent has no 2026 campaign of their own, when no incumbent filed for the district under its 2026 lines, or when the seat is vacant. Otherwise the incumbent is not confirmed, and we say what the FEC shows: a 2026 campaign on file, or none. Candidates on the November ballot are listed only with a link to an official election office's candidate list, ballot or results; "Nominee" marks a party's nominee, and candidates on Alaska's top-four ballot, California's and Washington's top-two ballots, or on the ballot by petition are marked "On the ballot".
Federal money
Fiscal year 2025 federal award obligations by place of performance, from USAspending.gov. The map and the table rank contracts, grants and other assistance per resident, using Census Bureau July 2025 population estimates (2020 Census counts for Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands). Direct payments are shown apart in each state's report and left out of the ranking: USAspending can record some of them, including Medicare payments, where the contractor or insurer that pays them is located rather than where the people paid live. Loans are shown separately at face value.
Disasters
Major disaster declarations (FEMA declaration type DR) since 2021, counted once per disaster.
Unemployment
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, seasonally adjusted, latest month (preliminary). National rate from the Current Population Survey.
District lines
Nine states use new district lines in 2026: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah. Missouri's new map is not in effect. Races follow the district each candidate filed for with the FEC.
Louisiana
Each Louisiana House race is an open primary on Nov 3, with a runoff on Dec 12 if no one wins a majority: every candidate on that ballot is marked "On the ballot".

Sources

Ballot facts from the official candidate lists, the oldest read Oct 7, 2026. Roster as of Sep 27, 2026. Government statistics fetched Oct 7, 2026; FEMA declarations through Oct 2, 2026. Nothing here is a forecast or a recommendation.

Notices

  • This product uses Census Bureau data but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
  • This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED® API Terms of Use
  • BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.
  • This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
  • Federal spending: USAspending.gov, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
  • State boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files via us-atlas (ISC license, copyright Michael Bostock).