INTC$92.07▼ 3.6%On pace for its worst day since 1974, Intel traded near $64. Its CEO's trust paid $95
Intel's stock traded about 30% lower on Oct. 30, the day after its fourth-quarter forecast, on pace for its worst day since 1974, Yahoo Finance reported. Records show who bought this year when the stock was far higher.
KeyVex News··5 min readFact-checked against 9 public recordsKeyVex News··5 min readFact-checked against 9 public recordsINTC$92.07▼ 3.6%Close, Oct. 29. Prices from Tiingo.The short versionTap to readTap to close
- In August, buyers paid Intel $95 a share for about $23 billion of new stock. Its chief executive's family trust bought about $10 million of it.
- On Oct. 30, after Intel forecast less fourth-quarter revenue than it made in the third, the stock traded near $64 that afternoon. That is about a third below what August's buyers paid.
- Not everyone is behind. The government got its 2025 stake for about $20 a share, and it is still worth about three times that, Yahoo Finance reported.
- Rep. Nancy Pelosi's spouse bought Intel shares and call options in May and July, when Intel closed at $114.68 and $92.32, her filings show.
- Intel books a gain when its stock falls, since shares it holds in escrow for the government lose value. Last quarter: $1.0 billion. Nine months, as the stock rose: a $12.6 billion net loss.
The fall: Intel's stock traded at $63.91 at 2:10 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 30, down 30.6% from the day before.KeyVex That put it on pace for its worst day since July 1974, Yahoo Finance reported.Yahoo Finance It was a bigger drop than any full day in KeyVex's Intel closes, which go back to 1980.KeyVex After the market closed on Oct. 29, Intel forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $15.0 billion to $16.0 billion, below the $16.5 billion it made in the third.Q3 release
The buyers: Less than three months earlier, Intel had sold new stock at $95.00 a share. It announced a $15 billion sale on Aug. 10 and ended up selling about $23 billion.8-KRelease Chief executive Lip-Bu Tan's family trust bought 105,263 shares in the sale, about $10 million, his Form 4 shows. That is the filing officers make when they trade their company's stock.Form 4
Why it matters: At $63.91, each of those $95.00 shares had lost about a third of its value, by KeyVex's math.KeyVex The US government, which got its stake in 2025 for about $20 a share, was still ahead, Yahoo Finance reported.8-K 2025Yahoo Finance
Intel's stock and the story's key datesDaily close, Aug. 1, 2025 to Oct. 29, 2026 ▲ 376.8%Show chartHide chart
- 1Aug. 25, 2025 The government's deal is filed. Up to 433.3 million shares for the Commerce Department, priced off $20.00 a share for the escrowed part. Close: $24.55.
- 2June 22, 2026 Highest close of 2026. $140.94.
- 3Aug. 10, 2026 Intel agrees to sell stock at $95.00. 210.5 million shares, plus 31.6 million more when the underwriters took their full option on Aug. 11. Close: $97.52.
- 4Aug. 11, 2026 The CEO's purchase. Lip-Bu Tan's family trust bought 105,263 shares at $95.00 in the offering, his Form 4 shows. Close: $97.71.
- 5Oct. 29, 2026 Third-quarter results and the forecast, after the close. Fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $15.0 billion to $16.0 billion. Close: $92.07.
View the data (314 trading days)
| Date | Close | Day change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | $92.07 | −3.6% |
| 2026-10-28 | $95.53 | +1.9% |
| 2026-10-27 | $93.74 | +3.6% |
| 2026-10-26 | $90.47 | +4.0% |
| 2026-10-23 | $86.96 | +1.7% |
| 2026-10-22 | $85.49 | −8.0% |
| 2026-10-21 | $92.96 | +1.4% |
| 2026-10-20 | $91.69 | −0.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | $92.03 | +2.4% |
| 2026-10-16 | $89.85 | −5.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | $95.37 | −2.8% |
| 2026-10-14 | $98.12 | −4.6% |
| 2026-10-13 | $102.81 | +1.4% |
| 2026-10-12 | $101.35 | −3.2% |
| 2026-10-09 | $104.70 | −2.2% |
| 2026-10-08 | $107.08 | −5.3% |
| 2026-10-07 | $113.12 | +0.6% |
| 2026-10-06 | $112.50 | −3.2% |
| 2026-10-05 | $116.19 | −2.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | $119.33 | −0.6% |
| 2026-10-01 | $120.00 | −0.2% |
| 2026-09-30 | $120.23 | +3.7% |
| 2026-09-29 | $115.93 | −0.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | $116.03 | −5.7% |
| 2026-09-25 | $123.00 | −3.4% |
| 2026-09-24 | $127.39 | +3.9% |
| 2026-09-23 | $122.60 | −1.0% |
| 2026-09-22 | $123.86 | +1.7% |
| 2026-09-21 | $121.78 | +12.1% |
| 2026-09-18 | $108.60 | −0.2% |
| 2026-09-17 | $108.80 | +7.7% |
| 2026-09-16 | $101.05 | +4.0% |
| 2026-09-15 | $97.14 | −0.1% |
| 2026-09-14 | $97.19 | −5.6% |
| 2026-09-11 | $102.94 | +2.6% |
| 2026-09-10 | $100.32 | −5.6% |
| 2026-09-09 | $106.24 | +1.7% |
| 2026-09-08 | $104.47 | +9.1% |
| 2026-09-04 | $95.80 | +4.5% |
| 2026-09-03 | $91.67 | +1.8% |
| 2026-09-02 | $90.05 | +1.2% |
| 2026-09-01 | $88.97 | −0.6% |
| 2026-08-31 | $89.51 | 0.0% |
| 2026-08-28 | $89.47 | −2.8% |
| 2026-08-27 | $92.09 | +4.4% |
| 2026-08-26 | $88.24 | +0.9% |
| 2026-08-25 | $87.48 | +0.3% |
| 2026-08-24 | $87.26 | −3.1% |
| 2026-08-21 | $90.07 | −2.2% |
| 2026-08-20 | $92.13 | −0.7% |
| 2026-08-19 | $92.80 | −4.0% |
| 2026-08-18 | $96.69 | −6.6% |
| 2026-08-17 | $103.49 | +1.0% |
| 2026-08-14 | $102.50 | −2.0% |
| 2026-08-13 | $104.56 | +3.6% |
| 2026-08-12 | $100.95 | +3.3% |
| 2026-08-11 | $97.71 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-10 | $97.52 | −4.1% |
| 2026-08-07 | $101.65 | +1.8% |
| 2026-08-06 | $99.81 | −1.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | $101.06 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-04 | $100.86 | +10.8% |
| 2026-08-03 | $91.00 | +0.9% |
| 2026-07-31 | $90.20 | −1.0% |
| 2026-07-30 | $91.13 | +11.3% |
| 2026-07-29 | $81.88 | −5.1% |
| 2026-07-28 | $86.30 | −5.9% |
| 2026-07-27 | $91.67 | −0.7% |
| 2026-07-24 | $92.32 | −7.9% |
| 2026-07-23 | $100.23 | −2.3% |
| 2026-07-22 | $102.62 | −2.7% |
| 2026-07-21 | $105.45 | +8.6% |
| 2026-07-20 | $97.06 | +2.1% |
| 2026-07-17 | $95.04 | −2.0% |
| 2026-07-16 | $96.98 | −5.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | $102.99 | −4.4% |
| 2026-07-14 | $107.76 | +4.5% |
| 2026-07-13 | $103.12 | −6.1% |
| 2026-07-10 | $109.84 | −2.4% |
| 2026-07-09 | $112.54 | +2.1% |
| 2026-07-08 | $110.24 | −0.1% |
| 2026-07-07 | $110.39 | −9.7% |
| 2026-07-06 | $122.20 | +1.5% |
| 2026-07-02 | $120.35 | −5.3% |
| 2026-07-01 | $127.02 | −9.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | $139.63 | +6.0% |
| 2026-06-29 | $131.72 | +2.6% |
| 2026-06-26 | $128.32 | −3.4% |
| 2026-06-25 | $132.87 | +0.9% |
| 2026-06-24 | $131.65 | −0.5% |
| 2026-06-23 | $132.28 | −6.1% |
| 2026-06-22 | $140.94 | +5.2% |
| 2026-06-18 | $133.99 | +10.6% |
| 2026-06-17 | $121.10 | +3.5% |
| 2026-06-16 | $117.05 | −8.5% |
| 2026-06-15 | $127.86 | +2.6% |
| 2026-06-12 | $124.57 | +6.5% |
| 2026-06-11 | $116.96 | +9.3% |
| 2026-06-10 | $107.04 | −0.8% |
| 2026-06-09 | $107.92 | −2.1% |
| 2026-06-08 | $110.27 | +11.2% |
| 2026-06-05 | $99.17 | −11.3% |
| 2026-06-04 | $111.78 | −0.8% |
| 2026-06-03 | $112.71 | +4.4% |
| 2026-06-02 | $107.93 | −1.3% |
| 2026-06-01 | $109.33 | −4.7% |
| 2026-05-29 | $114.68 | −5.1% |
| 2026-05-28 | $120.89 | −0.7% |
| 2026-05-27 | $121.77 | −1.4% |
| 2026-05-26 | $123.52 | +3.1% |
| 2026-05-22 | $119.84 | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-21 | $118.50 | −0.4% |
| 2026-05-20 | $118.96 | +7.4% |
| 2026-05-19 | $110.80 | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-18 | $108.17 | −0.6% |
| 2026-05-15 | $108.77 | −6.2% |
| 2026-05-14 | $115.93 | −3.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | $120.29 | −0.3% |
| 2026-05-12 | $120.61 | −6.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | $129.44 | +3.6% |
| 2026-05-08 | $124.92 | +14.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | $109.62 | −3.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | $113.01 | +4.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | $108.15 | +12.9% |
| 2026-05-04 | $95.78 | −3.9% |
| 2026-05-01 | $99.62 | +5.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | $94.48 | −0.3% |
| 2026-04-29 | $94.75 | +12.1% |
| 2026-04-28 | $84.52 | −0.6% |
| 2026-04-27 | $84.99 | +3.0% |
| 2026-04-24 | $82.54 | +23.6% |
| 2026-04-23 | $66.78 | +2.3% |
| 2026-04-22 | $65.27 | −1.5% |
| 2026-04-21 | $66.26 | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-20 | $65.70 | −4.1% |
| 2026-04-17 | $68.50 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-16 | $68.50 | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-15 | $64.94 | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-14 | $63.81 | −2.1% |
| 2026-04-13 | $65.18 | +4.5% |
| 2026-04-10 | $62.38 | +1.1% |
| 2026-04-09 | $61.72 | +4.7% |
| 2026-04-08 | $58.95 | +11.4% |
| 2026-04-07 | $52.91 | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-06 | $50.78 | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-02 | $50.38 | +4.9% |
| 2026-04-01 | $48.03 | +8.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | $44.13 | +7.1% |
| 2026-03-30 | $41.19 | −4.5% |
| 2026-03-27 | $43.13 | −2.2% |
| 2026-03-26 | $44.10 | −6.5% |
| 2026-03-25 | $47.18 | +7.1% |
| 2026-03-24 | $44.06 | +0.1% |
| 2026-03-23 | $44.01 | +0.3% |
| 2026-03-20 | $43.87 | −5.0% |
| 2026-03-19 | $46.18 | +2.6% |
| 2026-03-18 | $45.03 | +2.2% |
| 2026-03-17 | $44.06 | −3.7% |
| 2026-03-16 | $45.76 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | $45.77 | +1.1% |
| 2026-03-12 | $45.25 | −5.7% |
| 2026-03-11 | $47.98 | +2.6% |
| 2026-03-10 | $46.78 | +2.6% |
| 2026-03-09 | $45.58 | +5.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | $43.42 | −5.5% |
| 2026-03-05 | $45.95 | +0.8% |
| 2026-03-04 | $45.58 | +5.8% |
| 2026-03-03 | $43.10 | −5.3% |
| 2026-03-02 | $45.50 | −0.2% |
| 2026-02-27 | $45.61 | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | $45.46 | −3.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | $46.88 | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | $46.12 | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-23 | $43.63 | −1.1% |
| 2026-02-20 | $44.11 | −1.1% |
| 2026-02-19 | $44.62 | −1.8% |
| 2026-02-18 | $45.46 | −1.6% |
| 2026-02-17 | $46.18 | −1.3% |
| 2026-02-13 | $46.79 | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-12 | $46.48 | −3.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | $48.29 | +2.5% |
| 2026-02-10 | $47.13 | −6.2% |
| 2026-02-09 | $50.24 | −0.7% |
| 2026-02-06 | $50.59 | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | $48.24 | −0.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | $48.60 | −1.3% |
| 2026-02-03 | $49.25 | +0.9% |
| 2026-02-02 | $48.81 | +5.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | $46.47 | −4.5% |
| 2026-01-29 | $48.66 | −0.2% |
| 2026-01-28 | $48.78 | +11.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | $43.93 | +3.4% |
| 2026-01-26 | $42.49 | −5.7% |
| 2026-01-23 | $45.07 | −17.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | $54.32 | +0.1% |
| 2026-01-21 | $54.25 | +11.7% |
| 2026-01-20 | $48.56 | +3.4% |
| 2026-01-16 | $46.96 | −2.8% |
| 2026-01-15 | $48.32 | −0.8% |
| 2026-01-14 | $48.72 | +3.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | $47.29 | +7.3% |
| 2026-01-12 | $44.06 | −3.3% |
| 2026-01-09 | $45.55 | +10.8% |
| 2026-01-08 | $41.11 | −3.6% |
| 2026-01-07 | $42.63 | +6.5% |
| 2026-01-06 | $40.04 | +1.7% |
| 2026-01-05 | $39.37 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | $39.38 | +6.7% |
| 2025-12-31 | $36.90 | −1.1% |
| 2025-12-30 | $37.30 | +1.7% |
| 2025-12-29 | $36.68 | +1.3% |
| 2025-12-26 | $36.20 | +0.1% |
| 2025-12-24 | $36.16 | −0.5% |
| 2025-12-23 | $36.35 | −0.1% |
| 2025-12-22 | $36.37 | −1.2% |
| 2025-12-19 | $36.82 | +1.5% |
| 2025-12-18 | $36.28 | +0.6% |
| 2025-12-17 | $36.05 | −3.4% |
| 2025-12-16 | $37.31 | −0.5% |
| 2025-12-15 | $37.51 | −0.8% |
| 2025-12-12 | $37.81 | −4.3% |
| 2025-12-11 | $39.51 | −3.1% |
| 2025-12-10 | $40.78 | +0.7% |
| 2025-12-09 | $40.50 | +0.5% |
| 2025-12-08 | $40.30 | −2.7% |
| 2025-12-05 | $41.41 | +2.2% |
| 2025-12-04 | $40.50 | −7.4% |
| 2025-12-03 | $43.76 | +0.7% |
| 2025-12-02 | $43.47 | +8.6% |
| 2025-12-01 | $40.01 | −1.4% |
| 2025-11-28 | $40.56 | +10.2% |
| 2025-11-26 | $36.81 | +2.7% |
| 2025-11-25 | $35.83 | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-24 | $35.79 | +3.7% |
| 2025-11-21 | $34.50 | +2.6% |
| 2025-11-20 | $33.62 | −4.2% |
| 2025-11-19 | $35.11 | +2.3% |
| 2025-11-18 | $34.33 | −1.1% |
| 2025-11-17 | $34.71 | −2.3% |
| 2025-11-14 | $35.52 | −1.1% |
| 2025-11-13 | $35.91 | −5.2% |
| 2025-11-12 | $37.89 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | $37.88 | −1.5% |
| 2025-11-10 | $38.45 | +0.8% |
| 2025-11-07 | $38.13 | +2.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | $37.24 | −3.0% |
| 2025-11-05 | $38.38 | +3.6% |
| 2025-11-04 | $37.03 | −6.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | $39.50 | −1.2% |
| 2025-10-31 | $39.99 | −0.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | $40.16 | −2.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | $41.34 | −0.5% |
| 2025-10-28 | $41.53 | +5.0% |
| 2025-10-27 | $39.54 | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-24 | $38.28 | +0.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | $38.16 | +3.4% |
| 2025-10-22 | $36.92 | −3.1% |
| 2025-10-21 | $38.12 | +0.1% |
| 2025-10-20 | $38.10 | +2.9% |
| 2025-10-17 | $37.01 | +0.5% |
| 2025-10-16 | $36.84 | −0.8% |
| 2025-10-15 | $37.15 | +4.3% |
| 2025-10-14 | $35.63 | −4.3% |
| 2025-10-13 | $37.22 | +2.3% |
| 2025-10-10 | $36.37 | −3.8% |
| 2025-10-09 | $37.80 | +1.0% |
| 2025-10-08 | $37.43 | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-07 | $37.17 | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-06 | $36.59 | −0.7% |
| 2025-10-03 | $36.83 | −1.3% |
| 2025-10-02 | $37.30 | +3.8% |
| 2025-10-01 | $35.94 | +7.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | $33.55 | −2.7% |
| 2025-09-29 | $34.48 | −2.9% |
| 2025-09-26 | $35.50 | +4.4% |
| 2025-09-25 | $33.99 | +8.9% |
| 2025-09-24 | $31.22 | +6.4% |
| 2025-09-23 | $29.34 | +2.0% |
| 2025-09-22 | $28.76 | −2.8% |
| 2025-09-19 | $29.58 | −3.2% |
| 2025-09-18 | $30.57 | +22.8% |
| 2025-09-17 | $24.90 | −1.5% |
| 2025-09-16 | $25.27 | +2.0% |
| 2025-09-15 | $24.77 | +2.9% |
| 2025-09-12 | $24.08 | −2.2% |
| 2025-09-11 | $24.61 | −0.6% |
| 2025-09-10 | $24.77 | +1.4% |
| 2025-09-09 | $24.44 | −0.2% |
| 2025-09-08 | $24.48 | 0.0% |
| 2025-09-05 | $24.49 | −0.5% |
| 2025-09-04 | $24.61 | +2.5% |
| 2025-09-03 | $24.00 | −0.9% |
| 2025-09-02 | $24.21 | −0.6% |
| 2025-08-29 | $24.35 | −2.3% |
| 2025-08-28 | $24.93 | +0.3% |
| 2025-08-27 | $24.85 | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-26 | $24.35 | −0.8% |
| 2025-08-25 | $24.55 | −1.0% |
| 2025-08-22 | $24.80 | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-21 | $23.50 | −0.2% |
| 2025-08-20 | $23.54 | −7.0% |
| 2025-08-19 | $25.31 | +7.0% |
| 2025-08-18 | $23.66 | −3.7% |
| 2025-08-15 | $24.56 | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-14 | $23.86 | +7.4% |
| 2025-08-13 | $22.22 | +1.9% |
| 2025-08-12 | $21.81 | +5.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | $20.65 | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-08 | $19.95 | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | $19.77 | −3.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | $20.41 | +1.1% |
| 2025-08-05 | $20.19 | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | $19.50 | +1.0% |
| 2025-08-01 | $19.31 |
Intel closed at $92.07 on Oct. 29, before the forecast. Oct. 30's fall is not in the chart: the day had not closed when this story was written. Source: Tiingo end-of-day closes, as traded, via KeyVex.Chart data
What Intel said, in August and in October
When it announced the sale, Intel said: "Customers continue to signal a strong and sustainable demand environment, driven by unprecedented investment in AI compute."Release It sold 210.5 million shares, and the banks running the sale then took their full option for 31.6 million more.8-K Its prospectus said the money would go to "general corporate purposes," which it said may include capital spending and working capital. It also said Tan and a family member had agreed to buy $12 million of the shares.Prospectus
On Oct. 29, Tan said that "despite near-term headwinds across the PC industry, demand for our CPUs remains robust." Chief financial officer David Zinsner said third-quarter revenue topped Intel's own forecast, with its "strongest data center revenue growth in 15 years." He also said Intel sees "the PC slowdown continuing at least through the first half of next year."Q3 release Intel's 10-Q, filed that evening, says a mid-October accident that halted its plant in Israel will hurt results in the fourth quarter and through the first half of 2027. KeyVex reported on it earlier on Oct. 30.10-Q
Tan's purchase was in the offering, at the offering price, as the prospectus said it would be.Prospectus His Form 4 does not mark it as part of a preset trading plan.Form 4
View the data
| Price | Per share | Note |
|---|---|---|
| The government (2025 deal, per Yahoo Finance) | $20.47 | $20.47 a share, Yahoo Finance reported. The 8-K prices the escrowed shares off $20.00. |
| 2026 high close (June 22, 2026) | $140.94 | Close as traded |
| The August stock sale (Aug. 10, 2026; the CEO bought at this price) | $95.00 | Offering price, from Intel's 8-K and Form 4 |
| Before the forecast (Oct. 29 close) | $92.07 | Close as traded |
| After the forecast (Oct. 30, 2:10 p.m.) | $63.91 | Live quote (IEX last sale via Tiingo), not a close |
Sources: Intel's 8-K filings of Aug. 25, 2025 and Aug. 12, 2026; Yahoo Finance; KeyVex prices via Tiingo.
The government is still ahead
In August 2025, Intel agreed to give the Commerce Department up to 433.3 million shares in return for $8.9 billion of federal funding, its filing shows. Part of it sits in escrow, released as payments come in.8-K 2025 The fall cut more than $10 billion from the value of the government's stake, which is still worth about three times what it paid, Yahoo Finance reported.Yahoo Finance
Intel counts the 132 million shares still in escrow as a liability. When its stock falls, that liability shrinks and Intel books a gain: $1.0 billion in the third quarter, its 10-Q says. As the stock rose earlier in the year, the same accounting cost it more: a $12.6 billion net loss over the first nine months.10-Q "We expect to recognize further such gains or losses in future periods," the filing says.10-Q
Who in Congress was buying
Members of Congress or their families reported 21 Intel trades with 2026 dates in KeyVex's records: 10 buys and 11 sales, the largest sale $100,001 to $250,000. The three largest buys were all by the spouse of Rep. Nancy Pelosi.KeyVex On May 29, when Intel closed at $114.68, the spouse bought 200 call options expiring in March 2027, for $1,000,001 to $5,000,000. Each gives the right to buy shares at $50.PTR On July 24, the spouse bought 10,000 shares and 50 more such options, expiring in June 2027.PTR Intel closed at $92.32 that day.KeyVex The filings don't give the prices paid.PTR
| Traded | Stock | Type | Amount | Owner | Disclosed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2026 | INTC | Buy | $500,001 - $1,000,000 | Spouse | Aug. 21, 2026 | PTR |
| July 24, 2026 | INTC | Buy | $250,001 - $500,000 | Spouse | Aug. 21, 2026 | PTR |
| May 29, 2026 | INTC | Buy | $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 | Spouse | June 23, 2026 | PTR |
July 24: 10,000 shares, and 50 call options with a $50 strike expiring June 17, 2027. May 29: 200 call options with a $50 strike expiring March 19, 2027. No Intel sale by her household with a 2026 date is in KeyVex's records as of Oct. 30.KeyVex
Intel's report days
Intel's stock fell the day after eight of its 11 earnings reports from January 2024 to July 2026, by KeyVex's math from its closes. The worst full day in KeyVex's Intel closes was Aug. 2, 2024, down 26.1%. The best report day was April 24, 2026: up 23.6%.KeyVex
Intel's move the day after each earnings report, January 2024 to October 2026Show chartHide chart
View the data
| Report | Next day's move | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Jan. '24 | -11.9% | Jan. 26, 2024: $49.55 to $43.65 |
| Apr. '24 | -9.2% | April 26, 2024: $35.11 to $31.88 |
| Aug. '24 | -26.1% | Aug. 2, 2024: $29.05 to $21.48 |
| Oct. '24 | +7.8% | Nov. 1, 2024: $21.52 to $23.20 |
| Jan. '25 | -2.9% | Jan. 31, 2025: $20.01 to $19.43 |
| Apr. '25 | -6.7% | April 25, 2025: $21.49 to $20.05 |
| July '25 | -8.5% | July 25, 2025: $22.63 to $20.70 |
| Oct. '25 | +0.3% | Oct. 24, 2025: $38.16 to $38.28 |
| Jan. '26 | -17.0% | Jan. 23, 2026: $54.32 to $45.07 |
| Apr. '26 | +23.6% | April 24, 2026: $66.78 to $82.54 |
| July '26 | -7.9% | July 24, 2026: $100.23 to $92.32 |
| Oct. 30* | -30.6% | Oct. 30, 2026, 2:10 p.m. quote: $92.07 close to $63.91 |
Report dates are the days Intel filed its earnings releases with the SEC, after the market closed. Source: SEC EDGAR; KeyVex prices via Tiingo.
The other side
Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon called the outlook "(in a word) terrible," Yahoo Finance reported.Yahoo Finance Tan said on the call: "Rebuilding Intel is going to be a multiyear journey, and I remain firmly committed to making it happen," according to the outlet.Yahoo Finance
Even at $63.91, Intel was up 73% for the year from its Dec. 31 close of $36.90, by KeyVex's math.KeyVex
Also in the filings
Not tied to the forecast: a stockholder sued Intel's directors and the Commerce Department in March 2026, claiming the government deal was unlawful and seeking to invalidate it. The case moved to federal court in April, and the defendants asked in May for it to be dismissed, Intel's 10-Q says.10-Q
The paper trail
The filings cited here, with the time EDGAR accepted each one (Eastern), and the House filings.
| Filed (ET) | Form | Filer | What it shows |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 29, 2026, 6:50 p.m. | 10-Q | Intel | 132 million escrowed shares; the $1.0 billion third-quarter gain on them. |
| Oct. 29, 2026, 4:08 p.m. | 8-K | Intel | Third-quarter results; fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $15.0 billion to $16.0 billion. |
| Aug. 21, 2026 | PTR | Rep. Nancy Pelosi | Spouse's July 24 Intel shares and call options. |
| Aug. 14, 2026, 4:27 p.m. | Form 4 | Lip-Bu Tan | 105,263 shares at $95.00 on Aug. 11, by family trust. |
| Aug. 12, 2026, 4:05 p.m. | 8-K | Intel | 210,526,315 shares at $95.00; option for 31,578,947 more exercised in full. |
| Aug. 11, 2026, 6:30 p.m. | 424B5 | Intel | Prospectus: use of proceeds; the CEO's $12 million commitment. |
| June 23, 2026 | PTR | Rep. Nancy Pelosi | Spouse's May 29 Intel call options. |
| Aug. 25, 2025, 6:06 a.m. | 8-K | Intel | The Commerce Department deal: up to 433,323,000 shares and warrants. |
Related coverage
Sources
12 sources, 9 of them public records
Public records
- Intel Corp., third-quarter 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)SEC EDGAR · Oct. 29, 2026
- Intel Corp., Form 10-Q for the quarter ended Sept. 26, 2026SEC EDGAR · Oct. 29, 2026
- Intel Corp., Form 8-K: underwriting agreement for 210,526,315 shares at $95.00SEC EDGAR · Aug. 12, 2026
- Intel Corp., "Intel Announces Proposed $15 Billion Common Stock Offering" (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1)SEC EDGAR · dated Aug. 10, filed Aug. 12, 2026
- Intel Corp., prospectus supplement (Form 424B5)SEC EDGAR · Aug. 12, 2026
- Lip-Bu Tan, Form 4 for Intel Corp.SEC EDGAR · Aug. 14, 2026
- Intel Corp., Form 8-K: Warrant and Common Stock Agreement with the U.S. Department of CommerceSEC EDGAR · Aug. 25, 2025
- Rep. Nancy Pelosi, periodic transaction report 20035143Clerk of the House · Aug. 21, 2026
- Rep. Nancy Pelosi, periodic transaction report 20034836Clerk of the House · June 23, 2026
Reporting
- "Intel stock plunges nearly 30%, on pace for its worst day since 1974" (Jared Blikre)Yahoo Finance · Oct. 30, 2026
Data
- Daily prices for INTC, SPY and QQQ, and the Oct. 30 intraday quote (Tiingo)KeyVex · through Oct. 30, 2026
- Congressional trades in INTC, 2026KeyVex · through Oct. 30, 2026
How we got these numbers
- Prices are closes as traded, not adjusted for dividends. The Oct. 30 figure is a live quote, the IEX last sale via Tiingo at 2:10 p.m. Eastern ($63.905, shown as $63.91), not a close; the move is against the Oct. 29 close of $92.07 (-30.59%). It is 32.7% below the $95.00 offering price. The year's change is from the Dec. 31, 2025 close of $36.90 (+73.2%). The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 lines follow SPY and QQQ, also as traded, rebased. The Filings switch shows the filing markers from KeyVex's Intel stock page, a selection of congressional trades, insider sales, Form 144 notices, 8-Ks and lobbying filings: not every filing, and not only those tied to this story.
- The August sale: 210,526,315 shares plus 31,578,947 option shares, 242,105,262 in all, at $95.00, or about $23.0 billion before fees; the prospectus put net proceeds at about $22.62 billion with the option. Tan's purchase: 105,263 shares at $95.00, $9,999,985, held by a family trust. The prospectus said Tan and a family member agreed to buy $12 million; the Form 4 covers the trust's shares.
- Report-day moves: for each Intel 8-K under Item 2.02 (results) from Jan. 25, 2024 to July 23, 2026, the close on the filing day against the next trading day's close. The 1980 comparison uses every INTC close in KeyVex's data from March 17, 1980 to Oct. 29, 2026 (11,751 closes), adjusting only for stock splits on their effective days; Aug. 2, 2024 (-26.06%) is the largest one-day fall. The 1974 comparison is Yahoo Finance's.
- Congressional trades are KeyVex's records of periodic transaction reports with 2026 transaction dates; the three Pelosi rows were checked against the filings themselves. A call option with a $50 strike gives the right to buy at $50 a share before it expires. The government's purchase price ($20.47) and the value of its stake are Yahoo Finance's figures; Intel's 8-K sets the escrowed shares' release at $20.00 a share.
- The header image was generated for KeyVex by an image model. It is an illustration of an Intel office building, not a photograph of a real Intel site. This is a reading of Intel's filings, House disclosures and news reports, not investment advice.
