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Black Hills expects its Google deal to provide about half its 2025 profit in 2030

Black Hills said Oct. 6 it will build $1.8 billion of gas generation for a planned Google data center in Wyoming. Its filings show the deal's size beside its 2025 profit, and how a merger ties NorthWestern Energy to it.

KeyVex News··6 min readFact-checked against 8 public records
KeyVex News··6 min readFact-checked against 8 public records
BKH$70.74▲ 0.4%Close, Oct. 6. Prices from Tiingo.
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  1. Black Hills earned $291.6 million for its common shareholders in all of 2025, its results show.
  2. It now expects one project, to power a planned Google data center in Wyoming, to provide about $150 million of net income in 2030. That is about half its 2025 total.
  3. Black Hills and NorthWestern Energy agreed in 2025 to merge. Each NorthWestern share is to become 0.98 Black Hills share, so NorthWestern's owners would hold about 44% of the combined company.
  4. The merger still needs Montana's Public Service Commission, its last approval left as of July. A decision is due by Oct. 12 and can be extended to Nov. 10, the Daily Montanan reported.

The deal: Black Hills said after the market closed on Oct. 6 that it had signed agreements to serve a planned Google data center in Cheyenne, Wyoming.8-K The agreements took effect Sept. 30 and run through 2048. Black Hills will spend $1.8 billion from 2027 to 2029 on new natural gas generation to serve the site.8-K

The scale: Black Hills expects the project to provide about $150 million of net income in 2030.8-K That is about half the $291.6 million it earned for common shareholders in all of 2025.8-K Separately, Black Hills has a long-term target of 4% to 6% annual growth in adjusted earnings per share.8-K

The partner: NorthWestern Energy is not named in the Google release.8-K The two companies agreed in August 2025 to merge, with each NorthWestern share to become 0.98 Black Hills share. NorthWestern's owners would then hold about 44% of the combined company.8-K At 1:20 p.m. ET on Oct. 7, both stocks were up about 8.8% from their Oct. 6 closes, on the IEX exchange.IEX quotes As of July, Montana's regulators were the merger's last needed approval, NorthWestern said.Release

Black Hills' stock and the deal's key datesDaily close, Aug. 1, 2025 to Oct. 6, 2026 ▲ 22.3%Show chartHide chart
Black Hills' stock and the deal's key datesDaily close as traded. Numbered dots mark the story's key dates, not what moved the stock. Story shows Aug. 1, 2025, to Oct. 6, 2026; switch ranges, compare with the S&P 500, or show the filing markers from KeyVex's Black Hills page.
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Black Hills Corp. · NYSE
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Story90D1Y5Y10Y
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Daily closes as traded · Close Prices from Tiingo.comColored dots are filings · White numbered dots are the news in this story · BKH on KeyVex
  1. 1Aug. 19, 2025 Black Hills and NorthWestern announce an all-stock merger. Each NorthWestern share is to become 0.98 Black Hills share. Black Hills closes at $60.87.
  2. 2Feb. 4, 2026 Black Hills counts 600 MW of data center load in its five-year plan. Its 2025 results show $291.6 million of net income for common stock. Black Hills closes at $73.74.
  3. 3Aug. 5, 2026 Second-quarter results: a 1.8 GW Cheyenne project would be "additive to our plan". Montana is the merger's last regulatory approval. Black Hills closes at $71.72.
  4. 4Oct. 6, 2026 After the close, Black Hills announces its agreements to serve Google. This is the last close in this chart, $70.74. The release came at 4:19 p.m.
View the data (297 trading days)
DateCloseDay change
2026-10-06$70.74+0.4%
2026-10-05$70.48−0.7%
2026-10-02$70.96+1.2%
2026-10-01$70.14+0.1%
2026-09-30$70.08−0.3%
2026-09-29$70.27+0.8%
2026-09-28$69.73−1.0%
2026-09-25$70.46+0.8%
2026-09-24$69.93−0.8%
2026-09-23$70.51−1.8%
2026-09-22$71.77−0.3%
2026-09-21$71.96+2.1%
2026-09-18$70.45−1.2%
2026-09-17$71.32+1.2%
2026-09-16$70.50+0.8%
2026-09-15$69.96−0.9%
2026-09-14$70.62−1.0%
2026-09-11$71.30−1.4%
2026-09-10$72.28−0.7%
2026-09-09$72.82−1.8%
2026-09-08$74.19+1.3%
2026-09-04$73.21−0.1%
2026-09-03$73.30+1.0%
2026-09-02$72.59+0.3%
2026-09-01$72.40+1.0%
2026-08-31$71.68−1.5%
2026-08-28$72.80−0.8%
2026-08-27$73.42−0.5%
2026-08-26$73.78+1.0%
2026-08-25$73.02+1.4%
2026-08-24$72.03+0.5%
2026-08-21$71.69−2.2%
2026-08-20$73.29+0.1%
2026-08-19$73.19+0.1%
2026-08-18$73.15−0.3%
2026-08-17$73.39−1.2%
2026-08-14$74.29+0.5%
2026-08-13$73.94+1.1%
2026-08-12$73.16−0.1%
2026-08-11$73.26−0.6%
2026-08-10$73.70−1.3%
2026-08-07$74.65+2.6%
2026-08-06$72.75+1.4%
2026-08-05$71.72−0.7%
2026-08-04$72.24+1.4%
2026-08-03$71.230.0%
2026-07-31$71.21−1.4%
2026-07-30$72.23−1.0%
2026-07-29$72.94−2.5%
2026-07-28$74.80+0.2%
2026-07-27$74.66−0.8%
2026-07-24$75.29+0.3%
2026-07-23$75.10+0.2%
2026-07-22$74.98+0.9%
2026-07-21$74.30−0.2%
2026-07-20$74.48−0.2%
2026-07-17$74.61−1.6%
2026-07-16$75.81+2.2%
2026-07-15$74.21−1.8%
2026-07-14$75.54−0.3%
2026-07-13$75.80+0.8%
2026-07-10$75.21+2.6%
2026-07-09$73.28+0.5%
2026-07-08$72.90−0.5%
2026-07-07$73.25+1.5%
2026-07-06$72.16−2.2%
2026-07-02$73.79+0.2%
2026-07-01$73.64−1.0%
2026-06-30$74.40−1.1%
2026-06-29$75.25−1.0%
2026-06-26$76.04+2.3%
2026-06-25$74.31−0.3%
2026-06-24$74.56+1.0%
2026-06-23$73.84+1.3%
2026-06-22$72.92+0.2%
2026-06-18$72.75+1.0%
2026-06-17$72.04−2.0%
2026-06-16$73.51−0.4%
2026-06-15$73.80+0.4%
2026-06-12$73.50+2.4%
2026-06-11$71.78−0.2%
2026-06-10$71.94+6.1%
2026-06-09$67.78−6.1%
2026-06-08$72.19−0.8%
2026-06-05$72.78+1.2%
2026-06-04$71.90+0.6%
2026-06-03$71.47−0.8%
2026-06-02$72.05+2.3%
2026-06-01$70.42−3.3%
2026-05-29$72.82−0.4%
2026-05-28$73.09−1.9%
2026-05-27$74.50−0.3%
2026-05-26$74.76+0.6%
2026-05-22$74.29+0.2%
2026-05-21$74.16+0.4%
2026-05-20$73.84+0.8%
2026-05-19$73.29−0.9%
2026-05-18$73.98+1.6%
2026-05-15$72.84−2.2%
2026-05-14$74.45+0.5%
2026-05-13$74.05−0.3%
2026-05-12$74.30+1.2%
2026-05-11$73.44−2.4%
2026-05-08$75.230.0%
2026-05-07$75.22+1.8%
2026-05-06$73.92+0.1%
2026-05-05$73.84−1.4%
2026-05-04$74.92−0.8%
2026-05-01$75.50+0.3%
2026-04-30$75.29+1.3%
2026-04-29$74.31−1.2%
2026-04-28$75.240.0%
2026-04-27$75.22+1.4%
2026-04-24$74.17−0.7%
2026-04-23$74.67+3.0%
2026-04-22$72.53−1.3%
2026-04-21$73.51−2.8%
2026-04-20$75.60−0.6%
2026-04-17$76.07−1.0%
2026-04-16$76.83+0.4%
2026-04-15$76.56−0.1%
2026-04-14$76.60+6.1%
2026-04-13$72.17−2.2%
2026-04-10$73.80−0.3%
2026-04-09$74.01+0.3%
2026-04-08$73.82+1.1%
2026-04-07$72.99+2.4%
2026-04-06$71.26+0.6%
2026-04-02$70.83+1.3%
2026-04-01$69.89+0.7%
2026-03-31$69.41+0.4%
2026-03-30$69.12+0.6%
2026-03-27$68.70+0.3%
2026-03-26$68.47−0.6%
2026-03-25$68.85+0.4%
2026-03-24$68.55+0.5%
2026-03-23$68.23+0.6%
2026-03-20$67.84−4.3%
2026-03-19$70.92−0.6%
2026-03-18$71.33−0.4%
2026-03-17$71.59−0.2%
2026-03-16$71.71−1.0%
2026-03-13$72.46+2.6%
2026-03-12$70.65+0.7%
2026-03-11$70.13−1.5%
2026-03-10$71.22−1.8%
2026-03-09$72.55−1.3%
2026-03-06$73.51−1.0%
2026-03-05$74.29−1.9%
2026-03-04$75.76+2.0%
2026-03-03$74.30+1.1%
2026-03-02$73.49−0.2%
2026-02-27$73.66−0.2%
2026-02-26$73.83+0.6%
2026-02-25$73.42−0.4%
2026-02-24$73.72+0.3%
2026-02-23$73.48+0.2%
2026-02-20$73.35+0.4%
2026-02-19$73.090.0%
2026-02-18$73.07−0.7%
2026-02-17$73.57−0.6%
2026-02-13$74.05+1.1%
2026-02-12$73.21+0.8%
2026-02-11$72.61+0.3%
2026-02-10$72.40+1.3%
2026-02-09$71.48−1.1%
2026-02-06$72.30−2.9%
2026-02-05$74.44+0.9%
2026-02-04$73.74−0.4%
2026-02-03$74.04+2.2%
2026-02-02$72.46−0.7%
2026-01-30$72.98+0.2%
2026-01-29$72.81+0.9%
2026-01-28$72.16−2.0%
2026-01-27$73.62+1.3%
2026-01-26$72.68+1.4%
2026-01-23$71.68−1.0%
2026-01-22$72.38−1.2%
2026-01-21$73.28+1.0%
2026-01-20$72.52−1.1%
2026-01-16$73.34+0.3%
2026-01-15$73.14+1.5%
2026-01-14$72.08+1.9%
2026-01-13$70.73+0.2%
2026-01-12$70.60−0.2%
2026-01-09$70.72−0.7%
2026-01-08$71.19−1.0%
2026-01-07$71.92+3.6%
2026-01-06$69.390.0%
2026-01-05$69.37−0.4%
2026-01-02$69.65+0.3%
2025-12-31$69.42−0.2%
2025-12-30$69.59−0.2%
2025-12-29$69.75+0.6%
2025-12-26$69.31−0.2%
2025-12-24$69.45+0.5%
2025-12-23$69.08+0.3%
2025-12-22$68.86+2.0%
2025-12-19$67.50−2.1%
2025-12-18$68.93−2.4%
2025-12-17$70.59−0.1%
2025-12-16$70.67−1.9%
2025-12-15$72.07−0.8%
2025-12-12$72.63+0.9%
2025-12-11$71.99+1.1%
2025-12-10$71.21+1.0%
2025-12-09$70.52+0.6%
2025-12-08$70.12+0.3%
2025-12-05$69.94−0.1%
2025-12-04$70.04−1.6%
2025-12-03$71.15−0.9%
2025-12-02$71.76−1.0%
2025-12-01$72.46−1.8%
2025-11-28$73.79+1.1%
2025-11-26$72.99+1.4%
2025-11-25$71.99+1.3%
2025-11-24$71.10+1.5%
2025-11-21$70.07+0.1%
2025-11-20$69.99+0.4%
2025-11-19$69.69−0.9%
2025-11-18$70.29+1.1%
2025-11-17$69.54−0.6%
2025-11-14$69.94−0.5%
2025-11-13$70.30−2.6%
2025-11-12$72.17+0.3%
2025-11-11$71.99+1.2%
2025-11-10$71.13+2.0%
2025-11-07$69.72+2.9%
2025-11-06$67.75+4.6%
2025-11-05$64.75+0.2%
2025-11-04$64.62+1.2%
2025-11-03$63.87+0.7%
2025-10-31$63.43−0.3%
2025-10-30$63.65−0.2%
2025-10-29$63.77−2.4%
2025-10-28$65.35−0.9%
2025-10-27$65.92−0.4%
2025-10-24$66.16+1.1%
2025-10-23$65.45+0.3%
2025-10-22$65.25+1.1%
2025-10-21$64.57−0.4%
2025-10-20$64.83+2.8%
2025-10-17$63.09+1.1%
2025-10-16$62.40+0.5%
2025-10-15$62.06+1.7%
2025-10-14$61.05+1.7%
2025-10-13$60.04−0.6%
2025-10-10$60.42−1.0%
2025-10-09$61.05−1.2%
2025-10-08$61.78+0.9%
2025-10-07$61.22+1.2%
2025-10-06$60.52+0.6%
2025-10-03$60.17+0.7%
2025-10-02$59.76−1.2%
2025-10-01$60.49−1.8%
2025-09-30$61.59+0.8%
2025-09-29$61.12+0.3%
2025-09-26$60.91+1.5%
2025-09-25$60.020.0%
2025-09-24$60.04+0.9%
2025-09-23$59.50+1.0%
2025-09-22$58.92+0.5%
2025-09-19$58.61−0.2%
2025-09-18$58.71+0.4%
2025-09-17$58.49+0.3%
2025-09-16$58.34−1.9%
2025-09-15$59.45+0.1%
2025-09-12$59.39−0.1%
2025-09-11$59.42+1.2%
2025-09-10$58.72+0.1%
2025-09-09$58.65+0.3%
2025-09-08$58.46−2.1%
2025-09-05$59.69+0.2%
2025-09-04$59.56+0.2%
2025-09-03$59.45−0.3%
2025-09-02$59.64−0.3%
2025-08-29$59.81+0.1%
2025-08-28$59.74−1.0%
2025-08-27$60.32+0.9%
2025-08-26$59.76−0.8%
2025-08-25$60.25−1.3%
2025-08-22$61.04+2.2%
2025-08-21$59.72−0.5%
2025-08-20$60.03−1.4%
2025-08-19$60.87+0.9%
2025-08-18$60.35−2.1%
2025-08-15$61.620.0%
2025-08-14$61.61+0.2%
2025-08-13$61.48+0.8%
2025-08-12$61.01+1.0%
2025-08-11$60.38−0.8%
2025-08-08$60.88+0.9%
2025-08-07$60.35+1.0%
2025-08-06$59.77+1.3%
2025-08-05$59.00+0.2%
2025-08-04$58.88+1.8%
2025-08-01$57.82

The Google release came after the last close in this chart. On Oct. 7 at 1:20 p.m., Black Hills traded at $76.95, up 8.8%, on the IEX exchange.IEX quote Source: Tiingo end-of-day closes, as traded, via KeyVex.

What Black Hills is building

Black Hills will build 564 megawatts of gas-fired generation at its Cheyenne Prairie plant, through an affiliate outside its regulated utility.8-K With some power bought on the market, it will supply up to 590 megawatts over the grid. It will also manage about 2.1 gigawatts (2,100 megawatts) from other Wyoming generators for Google, through a private microgrid, a separate local grid, for a management fee.8-K

Service is to start in late 2027 and reach the data center's peak load in 2030. Black Hills expects to earn a return on the plant from the start of construction in 2027. It also expects about $2.4 billion of unlevered free cash flow, cash before debt costs, through 2048, after the $1.8 billion it spends.8-K

Google has already provided $399 million of refundable advances, money for long lead-time equipment that Black Hills expects to repay by June 30, 2027.8-K

The agreements and supporting regulatory mechanisms are "structured so that Google bears all costs associated with serving the planned data center throughout the life of the project," said Linn Evans, Black Hills' president and chief executive.8-K The release also lists risks, among them securing regulatory approvals and counterparties failing to perform.8-K

The Google project's expected 2030 profit beside each company's whole 2025Net income, in millions of dollars
View the data
Net incomeMillions of dollarsNote
Black Hills, all of 2025 (Net income available for common stock)$291.6MGAAP, from its Feb. 4, 2026 results release
NorthWestern Energy, all of 2025 (Net income)$181.1M$181,092,000, from its 2025 Form 10-K
The Google project, in 2030 (What Black Hills expects it to provide)$150.0M"Approximately $150 million of net income in 2030," Black Hills' Oct. 6 release says

The 2030 figure is Black Hills' expectation, not a result. Sources: Black Hills' Oct. 6, 2026 and Feb. 4, 2026 releases; NorthWestern's 2025 Form 10-K.8-K10-K

What the plan said before

In February, Black Hills said its five-year plan counted 600 megawatts of data center load by 2030, from Microsoft's expansion and a new Meta AI data center.8-K It said the same in August.8-K

The same August release described progress toward agreements on an unnamed 1.8-gigawatt data center project in Cheyenne. Those agreements and others "would be additive to our plan," Evans said then.8-K On April 22, Black Hills' Wyoming utility had agreed with that project's customer to buy generation equipment, and the customer's refundable advances were raised in July to $377 million, the release said. The Oct. 6 release does not say whether Google's deal is that project.8-K8-K

Freedom Broker analyst Matvey Tayts, whose firm raised its rating on the stock, said the Google contract "changes BKH's growth profile rather than simply adding a project," Investing.com reported.Investing.com

How the merger ties the two stocks

For scale, NorthWestern's net income for all of 2025 was $181.1 million.10-K Because the swap is fixed, the gap between the two prices shows how closely NorthWestern has traded to 0.98 Black Hills share. It was widest, 6.5%, on Jan. 27, and 0.6% on Oct. 6. At 1:20 p.m. on Oct. 7 it was about 0.5%, by KeyVex's math.Gap data

How far NorthWestern traded below 0.98 Black Hills shareShow chartHide chart
How far NorthWestern traded below 0.98 Black Hills sharePercent below, at each day's close, Aug. 19, 2025, to Oct. 6, 2026. KeyVex's math from as-traded closes.
View the data
CloseNorthWestern's discount to 0.98 Black Hills share
Oct. 6, 20260.58%
Oct. 5, 20260.45%
Oct. 2, 20260.39%
Oct. 1, 20260.30%
Sept. 30, 20260.43%
Sept. 29, 20260.25%
Sept. 28, 20260.40%
Sept. 25, 20260.31%
Sept. 24, 20260.67%
Sept. 23, 20260.58%
Sept. 22, 20260.66%
Sept. 21, 20260.98%
Sept. 18, 20260.83%
Sept. 17, 20260.85%
Sept. 16, 20260.83%
Sept. 15, 20260.85%
Sept. 14, 20260.81%
Sept. 11, 20260.91%
Sept. 10, 20261.16%
Sept. 9, 20261.11%
Sept. 8, 20261.27%
Sept. 4, 20261.35%
Sept. 3, 20261.30%
Sept. 2, 20261.33%
Sept. 1, 20261.47%
Aug. 31, 20261.55%
Aug. 28, 20261.44%
Aug. 27, 20261.31%
Aug. 26, 20261.14%
Aug. 25, 20260.95%
Aug. 24, 20261.32%
Aug. 21, 20261.15%
Aug. 20, 20261.41%
Aug. 19, 20261.60%
Aug. 18, 20261.50%
Aug. 17, 20261.53%
Aug. 14, 20261.37%
Aug. 13, 20261.30%
Aug. 12, 20261.59%
Aug. 11, 20261.59%
Aug. 10, 20261.39%
Aug. 7, 20261.46%
Aug. 6, 20261.44%
Aug. 5, 20261.63%
Aug. 4, 20261.32%
Aug. 3, 20261.30%
July 31, 20261.50%
July 30, 20261.49%
July 29, 20261.22%
July 28, 20261.38%
July 27, 20261.32%
July 24, 20261.25%
July 23, 20261.42%
July 22, 20261.29%
July 21, 20261.39%
July 20, 20261.52%
July 17, 20261.45%
July 16, 20261.38%
July 15, 20261.38%
July 14, 20261.51%
July 13, 20261.46%
July 10, 20261.35%
July 9, 20261.37%
July 8, 20261.56%
July 7, 20261.44%
July 6, 20261.45%
July 2, 20261.37%
July 1, 20260.99%
June 30, 20261.77%
June 29, 20261.66%
June 26, 20261.48%
June 25, 20261.90%
June 24, 20261.80%
June 23, 20261.95%
June 22, 20262.10%
June 18, 20261.98%
June 17, 20261.93%
June 16, 20262.05%
June 15, 20262.15%
June 12, 20261.36%
June 11, 20261.26%
June 10, 20261.11%
June 9, 20261.12%
June 8, 20261.27%
June 5, 20261.20%
June 4, 20261.21%
June 3, 20261.26%
June 2, 20261.15%
June 1, 20261.13%
May 29, 20261.06%
May 28, 20261.04%
May 27, 20260.90%
May 26, 20261.13%
May 22, 20261.20%
May 21, 20261.22%
May 20, 20261.14%
May 19, 20261.19%
May 18, 20261.41%
May 15, 20261.60%
May 14, 20261.76%
May 13, 20261.91%
May 12, 20261.80%
May 11, 20261.67%
May 8, 20261.81%
May 7, 20261.77%
May 6, 20261.88%
May 5, 20261.90%
May 4, 20262.03%
May 1, 20262.03%
April 30, 20261.96%
April 29, 20262.04%
April 28, 20261.84%
April 27, 20261.66%
April 24, 20262.06%
April 23, 20262.09%
April 22, 20262.31%
April 21, 20262.15%
April 20, 20262.37%
April 17, 20262.77%
April 16, 20262.65%
April 15, 20262.22%
April 14, 20262.38%
April 13, 20262.53%
April 10, 20262.37%
April 9, 20262.51%
April 8, 20262.51%
April 7, 20262.57%
April 6, 20262.47%
April 2, 20262.63%
April 1, 20263.03%
March 31, 20263.06%
March 30, 20262.82%
March 27, 20263.13%
March 26, 20263.13%
March 25, 20263.13%
March 24, 20262.92%
March 23, 20263.00%
March 20, 20264.04%
March 19, 20263.80%
March 18, 20263.60%
March 17, 20263.55%
March 16, 20263.39%
March 13, 20263.65%
March 12, 20262.87%
March 11, 20262.56%
March 10, 20262.82%
March 9, 20262.53%
March 6, 20263.23%
March 5, 20263.38%
March 4, 20263.47%
March 3, 20262.79%
March 2, 20262.87%
Feb. 27, 20263.08%
Feb. 26, 20263.50%
Feb. 25, 20263.24%
Feb. 24, 20263.91%
Feb. 23, 20263.90%
Feb. 20, 20264.11%
Feb. 19, 20264.31%
Feb. 18, 20264.40%
Feb. 17, 20263.91%
Feb. 13, 20263.98%
Feb. 12, 20264.12%
Feb. 11, 20263.81%
Feb. 10, 20263.67%
Feb. 9, 20263.87%
Feb. 6, 20263.77%
Feb. 5, 20264.26%
Feb. 4, 20264.67%
Feb. 3, 20264.48%
Feb. 2, 20264.72%
Jan. 30, 20265.12%
Jan. 29, 20265.22%
Jan. 28, 20265.96%
Jan. 27, 20266.52%
Jan. 26, 20266.44%
Jan. 23, 20265.35%
Jan. 22, 20264.54%
Jan. 21, 20264.75%
Jan. 20, 20264.54%
Jan. 16, 20264.40%
Jan. 15, 20264.52%
Jan. 14, 20264.39%
Jan. 13, 20264.23%
Jan. 12, 20264.81%
Jan. 9, 20264.76%
Jan. 8, 20265.05%
Jan. 7, 20264.74%
Jan. 6, 20264.46%
Jan. 5, 20264.90%
Jan. 2, 20265.14%
Dec. 31, 20255.13%
Dec. 30, 20255.14%
Dec. 29, 20255.11%
Dec. 26, 20255.34%
Dec. 24, 20255.10%
Dec. 23, 20254.75%
Dec. 22, 20255.25%
Dec. 19, 20255.03%
Dec. 18, 20254.90%
Dec. 17, 20254.97%
Dec. 16, 20255.48%
Dec. 15, 20255.69%
Dec. 12, 20254.69%
Dec. 11, 20253.84%
Dec. 10, 20253.99%
Dec. 9, 20254.07%
Dec. 8, 20254.39%
Dec. 5, 20254.33%
Dec. 4, 20254.33%
Dec. 3, 20254.31%
Dec. 2, 20254.57%
Dec. 1, 20254.28%
Nov. 28, 20254.46%
Nov. 26, 20254.53%
Nov. 25, 20254.31%
Nov. 24, 20254.17%
Nov. 21, 20254.34%
Nov. 20, 20254.34%
Nov. 19, 20254.33%
Nov. 18, 20254.45%
Nov. 17, 20254.30%
Nov. 14, 20255.01%
Nov. 13, 20255.35%
Nov. 12, 20254.83%
Nov. 11, 20254.86%
Nov. 10, 20255.09%
Nov. 7, 20254.84%
Nov. 6, 20254.78%
Nov. 5, 20253.85%
Nov. 4, 20253.91%
Nov. 3, 20254.06%
Oct. 31, 20254.01%
Oct. 30, 20253.81%
Oct. 29, 20254.26%
Oct. 28, 20254.19%
Oct. 27, 20253.97%
Oct. 24, 20253.88%
Oct. 23, 20253.84%
Oct. 22, 20253.62%
Oct. 21, 20253.36%
Oct. 20, 20254.18%
Oct. 17, 20254.14%
Oct. 16, 20253.37%
Oct. 15, 20252.99%
Oct. 14, 20252.51%
Oct. 13, 20252.56%
Oct. 10, 20252.54%
Oct. 9, 20252.54%
Oct. 8, 20252.55%
Oct. 7, 20251.84%
Oct. 6, 20252.02%
Oct. 3, 20252.10%
Oct. 2, 20252.62%
Oct. 1, 20252.92%
Sept. 30, 20252.90%
Sept. 29, 20252.98%
Sept. 26, 20252.80%
Sept. 25, 20252.80%
Sept. 24, 20252.40%
Sept. 23, 20252.57%
Sept. 22, 20252.43%
Sept. 19, 20252.36%
Sept. 18, 20251.90%
Sept. 17, 20252.48%
Sept. 16, 20252.86%
Sept. 15, 20252.80%
Sept. 12, 20251.83%
Sept. 11, 20251.94%
Sept. 10, 20251.71%
Sept. 9, 20251.44%
Sept. 8, 20251.42%
Sept. 5, 20250.93%
Sept. 4, 20251.13%
Sept. 3, 20251.82%
Sept. 2, 20251.88%
Aug. 29, 20251.88%
Aug. 28, 20251.75%
Aug. 27, 20251.68%
Aug. 26, 20251.31%
Aug. 25, 20252.07%
Aug. 22, 20252.24%
Aug. 21, 20252.49%
Aug. 20, 20252.26%
Aug. 19, 20252.08%

0% would mean a NorthWestern share cost exactly 0.98 times a Black Hills share. Source: Tiingo closes, as traded, via KeyVex; exchange ratio from the merger agreement.8-K

What Montana still has to decide

Federal regulators and Nebraska approved the merger in May, and South Dakota in June. That leaves Montana's Public Service Commission as the only regulatory approval still needed, NorthWestern said in July.Release

Monica Tranel, a lawyer for the Montana Farmers Union and 350 Montana, which oppose the merger, argues the commission should set conditions on the new parent company. On Sept. 24, before the Google announcement, the Daily Montanan reported her view that Montana's utility would be about 30% of the new company's regulated business.Daily Montanan

This is the only time this commission will touch the parent entity, and it's imperative conditions be imposed now.
Monica Tranel, as reported by the Daily Montanan on Sept. 24Daily Montanan

One condition she gave as an example: keeping Montana's capital from shoring up problems in another state, such as a failed data center, the Daily Montanan reported.Daily Montanan She did not refer to Google or Cheyenne in that report; the Google agreements were announced 12 days later.

NorthWestern reached a settlement with some key parties in Montana in April, which the commission must approve, it said in July.Release A court challenge over whether a newly seated commissioner may vote was still pending as of Sept. 24, the Daily Montanan reported. The commission's decision is due by Oct. 12 and can be extended to Nov. 10, it reported.Daily Montanan Black Hills expects to close the merger by the end of 2026.8-K

What to watch

  1. Montana's Public Service Commission faces its deadline to decide on the merger, the Daily Montanan reported.

  2. The latest the commission can decide, if it extends the deadline.

  3. When Black Hills expects the merger to close. It also plans to file for a Wyoming transmission expansion in the fourth quarter.

  4. Black Hills expects to have repaid Google's $399 million of refundable advances.

  5. Service to the Cheyenne data center is to begin.

  6. The data center's planned peak load, and the year Black Hills expects about $150 million of net income from the project.

The paper trail

The filings this story rests on, Aug. 19, 2025, through Oct. 6, 2026.

Filed (ET)FormFilerWhat it shows
Aug. 19, 20258-KBlack HillsMerger agreement with NorthWestern: 0.98 Black Hills share for each NorthWestern share; owners split about 56% and 44%.
Feb. 4, 20268-KBlack Hills2025 results: $291.6 million of net income for common stock; 600 MW of data center load in the five-year plan.
Feb. 12, 202610-KNorthWestern2025 net income of $181.1 million.
July 30, 20268-KNorthWesternSecond-quarter results: Montana is the merger's only remaining regulatory approval.
Aug. 5, 20268-KBlack HillsSecond-quarter results: 600 MW by 2030 from Microsoft and Meta; a 1.8 GW Cheyenne project would be additive.
Aug. 17, 20268-KBlack HillsPro forma combined results for the merger.
Oct. 6, 2026, 4:19 p.m.8-KBlack HillsAgreements to serve Google's planned Cheyenne data center: $1.8 billion of generation, about $150 million of net income expected in 2030.

Sources

12 sources, 8 of them public records

How we got these numbers

  • Net income figures are as reported: Black Hills' net income available for common stock (GAAP) and NorthWestern's net income for 2025. The $150 million for 2030 is Black Hills' own expectation in its Oct. 6 release, not a result. "About half" is $150 million divided by $291.6 million, 51.4%.
  • Prices are end-of-day closes as traded, not adjusted for dividends. The Oct. 7 prices are Tiingo IEX quotes at 1:20 p.m. ET: Black Hills $76.945, NorthWestern $75.01. Each is compared with its Oct. 6 close ($70.74, $68.92). IEX is one exchange, and prices moved through the day. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 lines follow SPY and QQQ, rebased to Black Hills' close at the start of the range shown. The Filings switch shows the filing markers from KeyVex's Black Hills page, a selection of filings: not every filing, and not only those tied to this story.
  • For each of 285 trading days, Aug. 19, 2025, to Oct. 6, 2026, the gap chart divides NorthWestern's close by 0.98 times Black Hills' close. It shows how far below 1 the result was, and ignores dividends either company pays before the merger closes.

How KeyVex News works. Our stories are researched, drafted and checked with AI tools from public records. Every figure is checked against the filing it cites, and each story passes a final review before publication. Corrections are made in place and noted at the top of the story.

KeyVex News reports on public records. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Close prices from Tiingo.com.

The image shown with this story is AI-generated.

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